Brazil: 11 dead and 20 missing after cyclone strikes in south
GuardianJUL 2023
The Spin
Narrative A
Increasingly severe rainstorms and flooding are linked to global warming and climate change. Warmer weather allows air to retain more water vapor, which is why we must implement policies to cool the global temperature to save lives and billions of dollars in damage.
Narrative B
It's easy to dismiss any extreme weather event as a consequence of climate change, but in reality they're usually influenced by a myriad of factors. More research is needed before we can establish any direct causal link between the two.
Metaculus Prediction
There's an 88% chance that there will be at least 2°C of global warming by 2100, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
