Bank of England Keeps Rates at 15-year High

Image copyright: Henry Nicholls - WPA Pool/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Facts

  • The Bank of England (BoE) has decided to hold interest rates at 5.25% — its highest level in 15 years — as it warned that the UK economy was unlikely to see growth until 2025.

  • The BoE's Monetary Policy Committee 6-3 decision is its second pause in a row after 14 consecutive rate hikes. In September, the bank voted 5-4 for its first rate halt since December 2021.


The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

Decisions by the BoE will likely continue to be hard-fought within its committee as the central bank walks a tightrope between tackling inflation and avoiding a recession. So far, the UK has avoided the doomsday predictions for its economy, but challenges inevitably remain as estimates for targeted inflation levels remain deep into 2025.

Establishment-critical narrative

With growth slowing and unemployment rising, the decision to keep interest rates at their current level is a further signal of the UK government's stagnant and ineffective policymaking. The BoE lacks transparency over inflation modeling and its long-term plan, as job outlooks and quality of life continue to suffer.


Metaculus Prediction


Articles on this story