The Facts

  • Two weeks into an aerial bombardment campaign of a Gaza under total blockade, 20 aid trucks entered the territory via the Rafah border crossing with Egypt on Saturday following a deal between US Pres. Joe Biden and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu earlier in the week — one of the conditions being that it would be distributed without Hamas involvement.

  • With over 1M of Gaza's 2.3M population internally displaced, Palestinians are rationing food and drinking dirty water. According to Gaza's Health Ministry, which is Hamas-run, almost 4.4K people had been killed by Saturday. That figure includes a disputed number of people who died in a hospital explosion earlier this week.


The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

After a week of high-level diplomacy that included the involvement of leaders like UN chief António Guterres and US Pres. Joe Biden, much-needed humanitarian aid has finally reached the Gaza Strip.

Pro-Israel narrative

Following the scale of atrocities carried out by Hamas in Israel, Tel Aviv has every right to defend itself from terrorists. Hamas must face the consequences for its vicious and terrorizing actions — this includes proactive actions in Gaza to ensure this historic attack on Israeli soil and civilians never happens again.

Pro-Palestine narrative

In response to the Hamas attack, Israel isn't singling out Hamas alone but is inflicting a punishment on the Palestinian people as a whole. Its actions have forced a humanitarian crisis on an already impoverished population — This must be investigated as a war crime.


Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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