New York Declares State of Emergency Amid Polio Circulation

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The Spin

Narrative A

In a world where most diseases are not eradicable, the fact that so many New Yorkers still refuse to get the polio vaccine is baffling. The disease can and already is spreading rapidly and quietly throughout the state, serving as another stark warning as to why vaccination is so important.

Narrative B

Vaccines are a personal choice, and governments should not be able to mandate what individuals choose to do with their health. If people choose not to get vaccinated for any disease, that is a valid choice that must be accepted. Personal freedoms are part of America's ethos.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 50% chance that the WHO will certify the worldwide eradication of Polio by July 2032, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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