North Korea fires ballistic missile ahead of U.S. VP Harris visit
NBCJUL 2022
The Spin
Establishment-critical narrative
The policy of military "deterrence" against Pyongyang leads only leads to frustrating countermeasures. It's not helpful to make the complete denuclearization of North Korea a precondition for improving bilateral relations. Only when peaceful coexistence between North and South Korea is nurtured will Pyongyang reconsider its nuclear stance. This is basic common sense.
Pro-establishment narrative
Now is the time for Washington, Seoul, and the international community to make it clear to Pyongyang that serious consequences will follow if North Korea's provocations continue. The global community should retain the right to launch preemptive strikes should a North Korean attack be imminent.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 70% chance that North Korea will conduct more than 20 missile test events in 2022 and 2023, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
