Putin's Chechen warlord ally plans to bolster Russia's forces in Ukraine with 4 new battalions
Business InsiderJUL 2022
Day 126 Roundup: G7 Pledges to Rebuild Ukraine; Kremlin Calls NATO Expansion "Destabilizing"
Image copyright: AFP/Getty Images [via The Washington Post]
The Spin
Anti-Russia narrative
This invasion is an egregious violation of international law. Putin's ultimate aim is to restore the Soviet empire, even if it takes massive bloodshed and false pretexts such as calling the 2014 Ukrainian revolution after a fraudulent election a "coup". This unprovoked attack is the latest chapter in Putin's Orwellian attempt to rewrite history.
Pro-Russia narrative
NATO and the US have ignored Russia's security concerns by breaking its promise not to expand eastward in return for German reunification. These concerns are legitimate and taking them seriously would have avoided the Ukraine tragedy.
Metaculus Prediction
There is a 50% chance that there will be at least 10.1M internally displaced Ukrainians by the end of 2022 (based on a UN estimation), according to the Metaculus prediction community.
