Day 240 Roundup: Conflicting Reports of Attacks on Kherson Dam; 4 Killed in Ukrainian Ferry Crossing Strike

Image copyright: AP Photos [via NY Post]

The Spin

Anti-Russia narrative

Russia is undoubtedly preparing to launch a false-flag attack on the KHPP in order to cover its soldiers' retreat and delay Ukrainian advances across the Dnipro river.

Pro-Russia narrative

The KHPP is strategically important to Russia — Moscow's forces would not damage it. Ukraine, on the other hand, aims to destroy the dam in order to inflict a man-made catastrophe in the recently annexed region.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 50% chance that Ukraine will regain control of Kherson by Dec. 27, 2022, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


Go Deeper


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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