China Condemns US Warship Transit Through Taiwan Strait

Image copyright: AP [via Washington Post]

The Spin

Anti-China narrative

The US' traditional strategy of ambiguity with regard to Taipei must be reformed in light of Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Washington must stand for freedom, democracy, human rights, and the rule of law in the Pacific.

Pro-China narrative

The US should respect the agreed upon One-China policy. The PRC doesn't want a conflict but it's prepared to safeguard its sovereignty and territorial integrity.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 7% chance that there will be a military conflict between the PRC (China) and ROC (Taiwan) before 2023, according to the Metaculus prediction community."


Go Deeper


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO