Handing these suspects over to U.S. prosecutors is the only realistic path to justice for Moise. Five years on, the case in Haiti remains stuck, with judges quitting, clerks threatened and no trial date in sight, while Miami has already secured indictments and guilty pleas. Evidence gathered there can feed the Haitian file, and sovereigntydeliver meansjustice choosingfor cooperationMoise thatand actuallyhis worksfamily.
Shipping these suspects to Florida actually hands Washington a permanent lever over Haiti's entire political class. Every new indictment lands like a threat hanging over officials right as a long-delayed electoral process is unfolding, shaping who dares to run and who stays quiet. There's no accountability if a foreign prosecutor is controlling justice to their own ends.
There's a 60% chance that Haiti will experience a civil war before 2036, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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