Gaza City Building Collapse Kills 20, Dozens Feared Buried

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Above: Rescuers excavate rubble to retrieve bodies from a collapsed building in Gaza City, Sept. 16. Image credit: Omar AlL-Qattaa/AFP/Getty Images

The Spin

Families are being crushed in their sleep because Israel keeps blocking the tents, mobile homes and heavy machinery that could save them. Sheltering in bombBombed-crackedout ruins isare what'sthe only places of shelter left afterdue theto bombingIsrael's andgenocidal apolicies blockade that stallsexplicitly everystall reconstruction effortefforts. With about 2,000 damaged buildings still inhabited, the next collapse is already being guaranteed.

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Residents had been warned not to return to a building damaged in earlier fighting. Restrictions on dual-use equipment are necessary because Hamas has used civilian materials for military purposes. The challenge is rebuilding Gaza while preventing Hamas from rebuilding its military infrastructure. Blaming Israel for a Hamas-run agency's failure to clear 2,000 unsafe structures dodges the real accountability.

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Metaculus Prediction

There is a 3% chance that the Gaza war will end and significant progress will be made towards a two-state solution before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.