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Europe's response to Ceuta exposes more than the failure of outsourcing border control to Morocco. Washington and Israel were already at odds with Sánchez, and suspicions that Madrid was being punished while Rabat weaponized migration cannot be brushed aside. Brussels' muted response reinforces the impression that Spain was left exposed by its supposed allies. An EU unable to defend a member state against geopolitical pressure leaves ordinary Spaniards paying the price.
There is a 48.3 percent chance that Spain will hold a general election before May 23, 2027, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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