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"If acquitted, by the Senate, can Sara Duterte win the 2028 election? Highly unlikely."

"The latest surveys show that she is beatable, she can be beaten, as they say, the vice president can be put to sleep… The numbers of the vice president have peaked a long time ago, so the only way to go is down."

"There is a 59% chance that Sara Duterte will win the 2028 Philippines presidential election."

"Taken together, the Q1 2026 findings suggest that VP Duterte remains the candidate to beat in a hypothetical 2028 head-to-head contest, but Mayor Robredo remains viable, competitive, and regionally resilient."

"Philippine Vice President Sara Duterte, the daughter of former President Rodrigo Duterte, is currently the front-runner to win the country’s next presidential election in 2028."

"Barring any earthshaking political upheaval, it looks like Vice President Sara Duterte is likely to win the presidency in 2028."

"Sara Duterte’s chances of winning are not just plausible; they are already palpable without a strong contender."

"The 2028 Philippine presidency remains hers to lose."

"Philippine Vice-President Sara Duterte-Carpio is still, by a distance, the early favourite to be the country’s next president."

"The sense is if it starts at 45%, the bandwagon plus the fragmentation of the opposition gives her almost certainty for 2028."

Will Sara Duterte win the 2028 Philippine Presidential Election?

A Quezon City Regional Trial Court issued an arrest warrant against Philippine Vice President Sara Duterte on Friday over three counts of grave threats, with bail set at 120,000 pesos per count, totaling 360,000 pesos.

A Quezon City Regional Trial Court issued an arrest warrant against Philippine Vice President Sara Duterte on Friday over three counts of grave threats, with bail set at 120,000 pesos per count, totaling 360,000 pesos.

The charges stem from a November 2024 online press conference in which Duterte claimed she had hired a hitman to kill President Ferdinand Marcos Jr., his wife Liza Araneta-Marcos and then-House Speaker Martin Romualdez if she were killed first.

The charges stem from a November 2024 online press conference in which Duterte claimed she had hired a hitman to kill President Ferdinand Marcos Jr., his wife Liza Araneta-Marcos and then-House Speaker Martin Romualdez if she were killed first.

Duterte's lawyer Paul Lawrence Lim confirmed the warrant Friday, saying his client "has no intention of evading the law and will continue to exercise all her legal remedies." Interior Secretary Jonvic Remulla said the Duterte camp intended to post bail as soon as possible.

Duterte's lawyer Paul Lawrence Lim confirmed the warrant Friday, saying his client "has no intention of evading the law and will continue to exercise all her legal remedies." Interior Secretary Jonvic Remulla said the Duterte camp intended to post bail as soon as possible.

University of the Philippines College of Law Assistant Dean Paolo Tamase said the vice president holds no constitutional immunity from criminal suit, unlike the president, and that bail could be posted on her behalf without requiring her physical presence in court.

University of the Philippines College of Law Assistant Dean Paolo Tamase said the vice president holds no constitutional immunity from criminal suit, unlike the president, and that bail could be posted on her behalf without requiring her physical presence in court.

Political scientist Cleve Arguelles described the warrant as "the first time in Philippine politics that a sitting vice-president was issued a judicial arrest warrant." A Momentum Research poll from July found 80% of Filipinos found Duterte's threats against Marcos and his family unacceptable.

Political scientist Cleve Arguelles described the warrant as "the first time in Philippine politics that a sitting vice-president was issued a judicial arrest warrant." A Momentum Research poll from July found 80% of Filipinos found Duterte's threats against Marcos and his family unacceptable.

The grave threats allegations also form part of Duterte's ongoing Senate impeachment trial, which concluded its ninth week Friday. A conviction would remove her from office and bar her from seeking the presidency in 2028, a run she announced in February.

The grave threats allegations also form part of Duterte's ongoing Senate impeachment trial, which concluded its ninth week Friday. A conviction would remove her from office and bar her from seeking the presidency in 2028, a run she announced in February.

Philippine court orders arrest of VP Duterte

Philippine court orders arrest of VP Duterte

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Philippine court orders arrest of VP Duterte

Philippine court orders arrest of VP Duterte

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