The Nepal-Tibet flash floods are a wake-up call about climate change gutting the Himalayas — glaciers are now losing ice twice as fast as in 2000, creating unstable lakes primed to burst. Building hydropower projects and settlements directly in glacial flood paths has made the devastation far worse than it needed to be. Without serious monitoring systems and climate-conscious development policies, disasters like this will keep coming.
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Nepal's deadly flooding has exposed the dangers of China's aggressive dam-building ambitions in the Himalayas. As rivers surge across South Asia, Beijing's massive Yarlung Tsangpo project raises fears of a far greater disaster in an earthquake-prone region, as a major failure could unleash enormous volumes of water downstream. China's pursuit of strategic control over vital rivers increasingly looks like a dangerous gamble with millions of lives.
There's a 51.4% chance that an anthropogenic disaster will happen in China before one happens in India, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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