The Washington Post

Us Debt Set Hit 40 Trillion Months Earlier Than Expected

The Wall Street Journal

U Debt Just Topped 40 Trillion How We Got Here C1C6C9D2

National debt reaches grim $40 trillion milestone. Heres why that matters

The Washington Examiner

National debt crosses $40 trillion in grim milestone

Breitbart

The US national debt now stands at $40 trillion

Independent

The Washington Times

U.S. total government debt tops $40 trillion for first time

PBS NewsHour

How Did U Debt Hit 40 Trillion Heres What To Know

Spectrumlocalnews

National debt tops $40 trillion as warnings grow over economic toll

The New York Times

Us Debt 40 Trillion.Html

New York Post

US debt crosses $40T after doubling under Trump, Biden  sparking new warnings of fiscal crisis

South China Morning Post

US debt hits US$40 trillion high, raising doom loop risk

_The_Prophet__

Forbes

The $40 Trillion National Debt News Is A Big Load Of Meaninglessness

stockmom

Metaculus

When will the US national debt reach $50 trillion?

Elon Musk

Joe Biden

Rishi Sunak

Andrew Ng

Yoshua Bengio

Melanie Mitchell

Stuart Russell

Sam Altman

Yann LeCun

Max Tegmark

Jaan Tallinn

Tristan Harris

Marc Andreessen

Cédric O

Arthur Clarke

"AI may cause the most dramatic and sustained economic boom of all time."

AI will make the world "way wealthier" and lead to a "productivity boom."

AI is an "amplifier of human intelligence" and will help the economy thrive.

AI will enable "universal high income" in place of "universal basic income."

"AI may become the heart of future economic growth in the coming decades."

AI harms could include "disrupting economies."

AI could "disrupt job markets."

"AI and technological unemployment" are the "biggest problem we face" from an "economic point of view."

"The moment superintelligent AI emerges, the human economy will end."

Will AI Bring Economic Risks?

Jerome Powell

Goldman Sachs

Matthew Martin

Polymarket

Kalshi

Mark Zandi

The Economic Times

Binance

JPMorgan

Adam Turnquist

NerdWallet

RSM US

Hady Farag

John M Veitch

Gregory Daco

Jacob Weinstein

Dean Lyulkin

Dan North

World Oil

Moody's Analytics

Heather Long

"Our base case is no recession for 2026."

"Kalshi places the odds of a recession in 2026 at 25%."

"There is a 27% chance that the US will face a recession by the end of 2026."

"Because of those policy changes and tailwinds, we have reduced our probability of a recession over the next 12 months to 30% from our previous estimate of 40%."

"Looking at the economy, J.P. Morgan Global Research forecasts a 35% probability of a U.S. and global recession in 2026, and sticky inflation will likely remain a prevailing theme."

"Moody’s Analytics model forecasts a 49% chance of a US recession in the next 12 months, the closest probability in years."

"Against this backdrop, we now place the probability of recession at 40%, but stress that those odds could rapidly rise in the event of a more prolonged or severe Middle East conflict."

“There’s real risk of recession [in 2026]."

“If oil prices remain elevated for much longer (weeks and not months), a recession will be difficult to avoid.”

“People are preparing themselves for the fact that we are already in a recession now or that there is a high likelihood we will soon be in one.”

Will the US Economy Enter a Recession in 2026?

The U.S. national debt surpassed $40 trillion for the first time on Tuesday, with the Treasury Department confirming the figure of $40.047 trillion the following day. The milestone was reached five months after debt hit $39 trillion in March.

The U.S. national debt surpassed $40 trillion for the first time on Tuesday, with the Treasury Department confirming the figure of $40.047 trillion the following day. The milestone was reached five months after debt hit $39 trillion in March.

The debt has grown faster than projected, driven partly by lost federal revenue after the Supreme Court struck down Trump's tariffs, forcing the Treasury to increase borrowing. The Congressional Budget Office had projected total borrowing would reach $39.4 trillion this fiscal year.

The debt has grown faster than projected, driven partly by lost federal revenue after the Supreme Court struck down Trump's tariffs, forcing the Treasury to increase borrowing. The Congressional Budget Office had projected total borrowing would reach $39.4 trillion this fiscal year.

Interest payments on the national debt are projected to exceed $1 trillion this fiscal year, with the 30-year Treasury yield hitting its highest level in nearly two decades as investors demand greater compensation for holding U.S. bonds.

Interest payments on the national debt are projected to exceed $1 trillion this fiscal year, with the 30-year Treasury yield hitting its highest level in nearly two decades as investors demand greater compensation for holding U.S. bonds.

The One Big Beautiful Bill Act, signed by Trump in 2025, raised the debt ceiling by $5 trillion while also adding an estimated $4.7 trillion to projected deficits over the next decade, according to the CBO.

Guardian

The One Big Beautiful Bill Act, signed by Trump in 2025, raised the debt ceiling by $5 trillion while also adding an estimated $4.7 trillion to projected deficits over the next decade, according to the CBO.

The Bipartisan Policy Center estimates the U.S. will reach the $41.1 trillion statutory debt limit between late winter and midsummer 2027, at which point Congress would need to raise or suspend it to avoid a potential default.

The Bipartisan Policy Center estimates the U.S. will reach the $41.1 trillion statutory debt limit between late winter and midsummer 2027, at which point Congress would need to raise or suspend it to avoid a potential default.

Annual interest payments on the debt now consume about 19% of federal revenue and are projected to climb to 26% by 2036, according to the Peter G. Peterson Foundation. The Social Security trust fund is projected to be insolvent by 2032.

Annual interest payments on the debt now consume about 19% of federal revenue and are projected to climb to 26% by 2036, according to the Peter G. Peterson Foundation. The Social Security trust fund is projected to be insolvent by 2032.

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