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Americas reddest state crowns GOP governor nominee

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Republican Barlow advances to face Democrat Casner, Constitution Partys Bextel for Wyoming governor

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Eric Barlow Wins Wyomings Republican Governor Primary Over Trump-Backed Candidate

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"It [2026 Midterms]'s going to be dominated by what party is making you safe and prosperous. It's not going to be dominated by subsidies [Trump's presidential actions]. It's going to be dominated by the big stuff."

“A chunk of [GOP voters] who put them in power in 2024 are Trump-specific voters; they will vote GOP down ballot when Trump is running but won’t turn out to vote for a typical congressman in a midterm when Trump isn’t running.”

"As we have seen, the president’s party almost always loses ground in the midterm election following his victory... [but] if Republicans are to have a serious chance of retaining control of the House, President Trump will have to improve his job approval significantly."

"If legal immigrants begin to be deported without having committed any crime [by Trump admin], get ready for Republicans to lose the [2026] midterms by a landslide."

“The President will help his Republican friends on Capitol Hill get reelected [in 2026 Midterms], and work to pick up new seats across the country.”

"President Trump is the main event for the party [2026 midterms]."

"Republicans have reason to worry that the president’s political decline will affect their performance in next year [2026]’s midterm elections."

“All these people that he [Trump] helps — he doesn’t help everybody — but for those he does, he’s a difference maker, and he’s certainly a turnout machine.”

"Whether congressional GOPers can turn things around for the ‘26 midterms is more dependent on Trump than ever."

“All of the kinds of things [Trump's] doing now will result in him losing—certainly losing the House of Representatives."

"The success or failure of the Grand Old Party (GOP) next year [2026 US Midterms] will be decided on the strength or weakness of President Trump’s coattails."

"What’s crazy is that the 2026 midterms are entirely in Trump’s control."

Will Donald Trump be a Primary Voting Factor in the 2026 U.S. Midterms?

Wyoming state Sen. Eric Barlow won the Republican gubernatorial primary Tuesday, defeating Trump-endorsed Megan Degenfelder and Wyoming GOP-backed Brent Bien. The AP called the race with Barlow capturing 58,820 votes to Degenfelder's 38,739 and Bien's 30,739.

Wyoming state Sen. Eric Barlow won the Republican gubernatorial primary Tuesday, defeating Trump-endorsed Megan Degenfelder and Wyoming GOP-backed Brent Bien. The AP called the race with Barlow capturing 58,820 votes to Degenfelder's 38,739 and Bien's 30,739.

Barlow's primary win marks another loss for Trump's endorsement record, following failed first-choice picks in Iowa, Georgia and South Carolina gubernatorial races earlier this cycle. The Cook Political Report rates the Wyoming governor's seat as solidly Republican.

Barlow's primary win marks another loss for Trump's endorsement record, following failed first-choice picks in Iowa, Georgia and South Carolina gubernatorial races earlier this cycle. The Cook Political Report rates the Wyoming governor's seat as solidly Republican.

Barlow, a fourth-generation rancher and U.S. Marine Corps veteran from Gillette, served as Wyoming House Speaker in 2021 and 2022 before being elected to the state Senate in 2022. His campaign focused on public lands, education funding, property tax reduction and expanding rural health care access.

Barlow, a fourth-generation rancher and U.S. Marine Corps veteran from Gillette, served as Wyoming House Speaker in 2021 and 2022 before being elected to the state Senate in 2022. His campaign focused on public lands, education funding, property tax reduction and expanding rural health care access.

Barlow raised $1.67 million since announcing his bid in August 2025, surpassing Degenfelder's total by roughly $380,000 and eclipsing the previous Wyoming statewide individual fundraising record. Degenfelder and Barlow entered the campaign's final stretch on broadly similar financial footing before Barlow pulled ahead.

Barlow raised $1.67 million since announcing his bid in August 2025, surpassing Degenfelder's total by roughly $380,000 and eclipsing the previous Wyoming statewide individual fundraising record. Degenfelder and Barlow entered the campaign's final stretch on broadly similar financial footing before Barlow pulled ahead.

Barlow will face Democrat Kenneth Casner and Constitution Party candidate Rebecca Bextel in the Nov. 3 general election. Every statewide elected office in Wyoming is currently held by a Republican, and the state gave Trump his largest margin of victory in the 2024 presidential election.

Barlow will face Democrat Kenneth Casner and Constitution Party candidate Rebecca Bextel in the Nov. 3 general election. Every statewide elected office in Wyoming is currently held by a Republican, and the state gave Trump his largest margin of victory in the 2024 presidential election.

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Wyoming state Sen. Eric Barlow won the Republican gubernatorial primary Tuesday, defeating Trump-endorsed Megan Degenfelder and Wyoming GOP-backed Brent Bien. The AP called the race at 8:54 p.m. with Barlow capturing 58,820 votes to Degenfelder's 38,739 and Bien's 30,739.

Wyoming state Sen. Eric Barlow won the Republican gubernatorial primary Tuesday, defeating Trump-endorsed Megan Degenfelder and Wyoming GOP-backed Brent Bien. The AP called the race at 8:54 p.m. with Barlow capturing 58,820 votes to Degenfelder's 38,739 and Bien's 30,739.

During the campaign, Barlow faced attack ads from at least two PACs, including Wyoming's Turn PAC, which published claims about his record on fuel taxes that legislative records contradicted. Degenfelder's campaign drew roughly $200,000 in opposition PAC spending.

During the campaign, Barlow faced attack ads from at least two PACs, including Wyoming's Turn PAC, which published claims about his record on fuel taxes that legislative records contradicted. Degenfelder's campaign drew roughly $200,000 in opposition PAC spending.

Trump's endorsement power is cracking — GOP primary voters in Florida rejected two of his House picks, and his choice for Wyoming governor went down too. MAGA's grip on the Republican base is slipping, and that spells serious trouble heading into 2026 and the 2028 presidential primary. When your own party starts tuning you out, that's not a blip — that's a warning sign.

Trump's endorsement power is cracking — GOP primary voters in Florida rejected two of his House picks, and his choice for Wyoming governor went down too. MAGA's grip on the Republican base is slipping, and that spells serious trouble heading into 2026 and the 2028 presidential primary. When your own party starts tuning you out, that's not a blip — that's a warning sign.

Amanda Litman

Josh Williams Photography

A few losses don't erase a 96.6% win rate — Trump-endorsed candidates have won 284 of 294 races, and cherry-picking rare defeats to declare a collapse is just bad math. The 2026 cycle is still mostly primaries, with barely any general elections counted yet, making the success rate even more remarkable. That kind of track record isn't weakening — it's dominant.

A few losses don't erase a 96.6% win rate — Trump-endorsed candidates have won 284 of 294 races, and cherry-picking rare defeats to declare a collapse is just bad math. The 2026 cycle is still mostly primaries, with barely any general elections counted yet, making the success rate even more remarkable. That kind of track record isn't weakening — it's dominant.

Maximus Knight

David Pollack

Don and Melinda Crawford/UCG/Universal Images Group/Getty Images)

Barlow Beats Trump's Pick in Wyoming Governor GOP Primary

Don and Melinda Crawford/UCG/Universal Images Group/Getty Images)

Barlow Beats Trump's Pick in Wyoming Governor GOP Primary

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Trump's endorsement power is cracking. In addition to Degenfelder's loss, GOP primary voters in Florida rejected two of Trump's House picks. MAGA's grip on the Republican base is slipping and that spells serious trouble heading into the 2026 midterms and the 2028 presidential primaries. When your own party starts tuning you out, that's a warning sign.

Trump's endorsement power is cracking. In addition to Degenfelder's loss, GOP primary voters in Florida rejected two of Trump's House picks. MAGA's grip on the Republican base is slipping and that spells serious trouble heading into the 2026 midterms and the 2028 presidential primaries. When your own party starts tuning you out, that's a warning sign.

Even with a few losses, Trump's successful endorsement rate sits at an amazing 96.6 percent. Cherry-picking rare defeats to declare a collapse is just bad math. The 2026 cycle is still mostly primaries, with barely any general elections counted yet, making the success rate even more remarkable. That kind of track record isn't weakening, it's dominant.

Even with a few losses, Trump's successful endorsement rate sits at an amazing 96.6 percent. Cherry-picking rare defeats to declare a collapse is just bad math. The 2026 cycle is still mostly primaries, with barely any general elections counted yet, making the success rate even more remarkable. That kind of track record isn't weakening, it's dominant.

Regardless of who endorsed him, Barlow will serve Wyoming well as governor. He's a marine, veterinarian, rancher and great family man. His leadership abilities have been on display for a while and the GOP has picked someone that will maintain the party's values throughout his term.

Regardless of who endorsed him, Barlow will serve Wyoming well as governor. He's a marine, veterinarian, rancher and great family man. His leadership abilities have been on display for a while and the GOP has picked someone that will maintain the party's values throughout his term.

Cynthia Lummis

Don and Melinda Crawford/UCG/Universal Images Group/Getty Images

Don and Melinda Crawford/UCG/Universal Images Group/Getty Images

Barlow Beats Trump's Pick in Wyoming Governor GOP Primary

Barlow Beats Trump's Pick in Wyoming Governor GOP Primary

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Barlow Beats Trump's Pick in Wyoming Governor GOP Primary

Barlow Beats Trump's Pick in Wyoming Governor GOP Primary

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