Trump's endorsement power is cracking — GOP primary voters in Florida rejected two of his House picks, and his choice for Wyoming governor went down too. MAGA's grip on the Republican base is slipping, and that spells serious trouble heading into 2026 and the 2028 presidential primary. When your own party starts tuning you out, that's not a blip — that's a warning sign.
A few losses don't erase a 96.6% win rate — Trump-endorsed candidates have won 284 of 294 races, and cherry-picking rare defeats to declare a collapse is just bad math. The 2026 cycle is still mostly primaries, with barely any general elections counted yet, making the success rate even more remarkable. That kind of track record isn't weakening — it's dominant.
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