The Associated Press

Brazils Lula and Flvio Bolsonaro return to their strongholds to kick off presidential campaigns

Correio Braziliense

Campanha presidencial comea com atos e agendas pelo pas

Jovem Pan

Em primeiro ato de campanha, Flvio sobe tom e retoma o bolsonarismo raiz

Revista Oeste

Campanha começa com vitória de Flávio sobre Lula

BolsonaroSP

Revista Fórum

Veja, em fotos e vdeos, a diferena de pblico nos atos de Lula e Flvio

EFE Noticias

Lula kicks off his campaign with a speech focused on security and social programs

lindberghfarias

O Globo

Flvio, Caiado e Renan usam colete  prova de balas em primeiro dia de campanha; Lula e Zema dispensam equipamento

Estadão

Por uma campanha decente

Gazeta do Povo

Flvio Bolsonaro e Lula vo aos debates no primeiro turno?

Reuters

Brazil's Lula launches reelection bid, aims to win back workers to his Workers Party

JOTA Info

Quando começam os debates presidenciais das eleições de 2026?

Band

Estadão se junta à Band na cobertura do debate presidencial

Folha de S. Paulo

Lula decide não ir a debate da Band

elonmusk

GitHub

x-algorithm/home-mixer/filters/brazil_2026_election_filter.rs at main  xai-org/x-algorithm

Tribunal Superior Eleitoral

Calendrio eleitoral

The Rio Times

Brazil 2026 Election Campaign Kicks Off with Lula, Bolsonaro

Guardian

Brazils Lula launches historic fourth term bid  but son of jailed Bolsonaro stands in his way

Metaculus

Will Lula be reelected in 2026?

Polymarket

Kalshi

Brian Winter

Jacobin

Latin America Risk Report

Manifold

PredictIt

Good Judgment

Prediction Hunt

Fabio Andrade

Granbay

PredictMarketCap

"There is a 40% chance that President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva will be reelected as Brazil's president in October of 2026."

"There is a 46% chance that Lula will win the October 2026 Brazilian presidential election."

"There is a 48% chance that Lula will win the October 2026 Brazilian presidential election."

"There is a 50% chance Lula will win Brazil's 2026 presidential election."

"There is a 50% chance that President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva will be reelected as Brazil's president in October of 2026."

"Lula’s reelection chances are right around 50%. It’s close to a coinflip."

"There is a 52.40% chance that Lula will win the October 2026 Brazilian presidential election."

"There is a 68% chance that Lula will win the October 2026 Brazilian presidential election."

Will Lula Win the October 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election?

Brazil's 2026 election campaign officially kicked off Aug. 16, with candidates permitted to solicit votes, hold rallies and distribute campaign materials starting that day under the country's Electoral Law No. 9.504/1997.

Brazil's 2026 election campaign officially kicked off Aug. 16, with candidates permitted to solicit votes, hold rallies and distribute campaign materials starting that day under the country's Electoral Law No. 9.504/1997.

President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva opened his reelection bid at the Vila Euclides stadium in São Bernardo do Campo before a crowd estimated at between 15,000 and 20,000 supporters, speaking at the site where he led metalworkers' strikes in 1979.

President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva opened his reelection bid at the Vila Euclides stadium in São Bernardo do Campo before a crowd estimated at between 15,000 and 20,000 supporters, speaking at the site where he led metalworkers' strikes in 1979.

Senator Flávio Bolsonaro launched his presidential campaign on Copacabana Beach in Rio de Janeiro, wearing a bulletproof vest and citing more than 1,800 death threats. His father, former President Jair Bolsonaro, did not attend after being convicted for an attempted coup.

Senator Flávio Bolsonaro launched his presidential campaign on Copacabana Beach in Rio de Janeiro, wearing a bulletproof vest and citing more than 1,800 death threats. His father, former President Jair Bolsonaro, did not attend after being convicted for an attempted coup.

Governors Ronaldo Caiado of Goiás and Romeu Zema of Minas Gerais also launched their presidential campaigns Aug. 16. Caiado opened with a Mass and car caravan through the Entorno do Distrito Federal region, while Zema began in Montes Claros with a church service and street walk.

Governors Ronaldo Caiado of Goiás and Romeu Zema of Minas Gerais also launched their presidential campaigns Aug. 16. Caiado opened with a Mass and car caravan through the Entorno do Distrito Federal region, while Zema began in Montes Claros with a church service and street walk.

The first presidential debate of the 2026 election cycle is scheduled for Aug. 23 at 8 p.m., broadcast by Band alongside TV Cultura, TV Gazeta, Jovem Pan and YouTube. Neither Lula nor Flávio Bolsonaro had confirmed attendance as of the campaign's opening week.

The first presidential debate of the 2026 election cycle is scheduled for Aug. 23 at 8 p.m., broadcast by Band alongside TV Cultura, TV Gazeta, Jovem Pan and YouTube. Neither Lula nor Flávio Bolsonaro had confirmed attendance as of the campaign's opening week.

X's recommendation algorithm published an open-source filter listing candidate account IDs reported to Brazil's Electoral Court for the 2026 election, which platform providers using recommendation systems are required to exclude from results under Brazilian electoral rules.

Elon Musk

X's recommendation algorithm published an open-source filter listing candidate account IDs reported to Brazil's Electoral Court for the 2026 election, which platform providers using recommendation systems are required to exclude from results under Brazilian electoral rules.

Brazil Presidential Campaigns Kick Off Ahead of October Election

The Controversies

Manifold

Polymarket

Granbay

PredictIt

Go Deeper

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Brazil Presidential Campaigns Kick Off Ahead of October Election

The Controversies

Manifold

Polymarket

Granbay

PredictIt

Go Deeper

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