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"Starship will never be going to Mars."

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"I'm willing to bet at this point that no Starship is heading to Mars in '26."

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"Starship may not be ready for this [2026] window but you can count on it making the next window in 2028."

"We've probably got about a 50% chance of sending ships from Earth to Mars at the end of next year [2026]."

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Will SpaceX Launch an Unmanned Starship Mission to Mars in 2026?

The upper stage of a SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket, launched Jan. 15, 2025, to carry two commercial lunar landers to the moon, struck the lunar surface near Einstein Crater on Aug. 5, 2026, at approximately 5,400 mph.

The upper stage of a SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket, launched Jan. 15, 2025, to carry two commercial lunar landers to the moon, struck the lunar surface near Einstein Crater on Aug. 5, 2026, at approximately 5,400 mph.

NASA confirmed the rocket stage had a 100% chance of impacting the moon after its Center for Near Earth Object Studies verified the trajectory, which was first identified by independent astronomers using publicly available data.

NASA confirmed the rocket stage had a 100% chance of impacting the moon after its Center for Near Earth Object Studies verified the trajectory, which was first identified by independent astronomers using publicly available data.

The impact was expected to create a crater roughly 60 to 100 feet wide and up to 16 feet deep, ejecting dust and rock across the lunar surface. A meteoroid with equivalent energy strikes the moon approximately every six days.

The impact was expected to create a crater roughly 60 to 100 feet wide and up to 16 feet deep, ejecting dust and rock across the lunar surface. A meteoroid with equivalent energy strikes the moon approximately every six days.

SpaceX director Julianna Scheiman said the rocket stage followed "the appropriate rules and regulations" after launch, but "a mixture of solar activity and gravity forces" placed it on a collision course with the moon.

SpaceX director Julianna Scheiman said the rocket stage followed "the appropriate rules and regulations" after launch, but "a mixture of solar activity and gravity forces" placed it on a collision course with the moon.

The collision was only the second known instance of rocket debris unintentionally striking the moon, after a Chinese rocket stage hit the lunar far side in March 2022. NASA and SpaceX are discussing ways to prevent future such impacts.

The collision was only the second known instance of rocket debris unintentionally striking the moon, after a Chinese rocket stage hit the lunar far side in March 2022. NASA and SpaceX are discussing ways to prevent future such impacts.

Scientists said the impact offered a rare calibration opportunity, as the rocket's known mass, speed and trajectory allow researchers to test models of lunar crater formation and ejecta behavior to inform future crewed missions.

Scientists said the impact offered a rare calibration opportunity, as the rocket's known mass, speed and trajectory allow researchers to test models of lunar crater formation and ejecta behavior to inform future crewed missions.

SpaceX rocket about to crash into the moon in unintentional collision

SpaceX rocket about to crash into the moon in unintentional collision

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SpaceX rocket about to crash into the moon in unintentional collision

SpaceX rocket about to crash into the moon in unintentional collision

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