Independent

Burnham bounce takes Labour top of polls as party set for landslide victory in Manchester

Survation

YouGov

Voting intention, 26-27 July 2026: Ref 22%, Lab 22%, Con 21%, Grn 13%, LD 11%

Moreincommon_

The Telegraph

Burnham Bounce Labour Ahead Reform

Reuters

Uks Labour Party Catches Reform Polls After Burnham Becomes Pm 2026 07 28

Huffington Post

More Polls Chart Reform's Slump As Andy Burnham's Boost With Voters Continues

The Standard

'Andy Burnham bounce' sees Labour leapfrog Nigel Farage's Reform UK into first place, new poll

Politico

POLITICO Poll of Polls

The i Paper

Burnham bounce puts Labour ahead in poll, but can it last?

The New Statesman

Labours Lead May Not Last

mehdirhasan

TalkTV

Youtube

- YouTube

Express.co.uk

Andy Burnham Snap General Election

Metaculus

What Will Uk Labours 7 Poll Moving Average Be On Aug 31 2026

Three national polls published in late July 2026 showed Labour overtaking or drawing level with Reform UK for the first time in over a year <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.verity.news/story/2026/burnham-becomes-uks-th-prime-minister">following Andy Burnham's first week as prime minister.</a>

Guardian

Three national polls published in late July 2026 showed Labour overtaking or drawing level with Reform UK for the first time in over a year following Andy Burnham's first week as prime minister.

A More in Common survey of 2,061 adults conducted July 24-27 placed Labour on 28%, up four points, while Reform fell two points to 24%. The Conservatives remained at 22%, the Liberal Democrats rose one point to 12% and the Greens dropped three points to 8%.

A More in Common survey of 2,061 adults conducted July 24-27 placed Labour on 28%, up four points, while Reform fell two points to 24%. The Conservatives remained at 22%, the Liberal Democrats rose one point to 12% and the Greens dropped three points to 8%.

Meanwhile, a Survation poll published July 28 placed Labour on 26%, up one point, with Reform on 24%, down two points — the first Labour lead in a Survation poll since May 2025 and the party's highest vote share in over a year.

Meanwhile, a Survation poll published July 28 placed Labour on 26%, up one point, with Reform on 24%, down two points — the first Labour lead in a Survation poll since May 2025 and the party's highest vote share in over a year.

A YouGov poll for The Times and Sky News, in contrast, recorded Labour and Reform tied at 22%, with the Conservatives on 21%. Labour's figure was its highest in the YouGov tracker since September 2025 and up six points from a low of 16% recorded in May, while Reform's share was its lowest since March 2025.

A YouGov poll for The Times and Sky News, in contrast, recorded Labour and Reform tied at 22%, with the Conservatives on 21%. Labour's figure was its highest in the YouGov tracker since September 2025 and up six points from a low of 16% recorded in May, while Reform's share was its lowest since March 2025.

Commenting on the polls, Professor Sir John Curtice estimated that Labour had gained approximately two polling points when Starmer announced his resignation as well as a further four points in Burnham's first week as prime minister.

Commenting on the polls, Professor Sir John Curtice estimated that Labour had gained approximately two polling points when Starmer announced his resignation as well as a further four points in Burnham's first week as prime minister.

While Politico's aggregate Poll of Polls still places Reform at 23%, compared to 21% for Labour and 19% for the Conservatives, the party has seen an eight-point decline from late August 2025.

While Politico's aggregate Poll of Polls still places Reform at 23%, compared to 21% for Labour and 19% for the Conservatives, the party has seen an eight-point decline from late August 2025.

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A More in Common survey of 2,061 adults conducted July 24-27 placed Labour on 28%, up four points, whilst Reform fell two points to 24%. The Conservatives remained at 22%, the Liberal Democrats rose one point to 12% and the Greens dropped three points to 8%.

A More in Common survey of 2,061 adults conducted July 24-27 placed Labour on 28%, up four points, whilst Reform fell two points to 24%. The Conservatives remained at 22%, the Liberal Democrats rose one point to 12% and the Greens dropped three points to 8%.

A YouGov poll for The Times and Sky News, in contrast, recorded Labour and Reform tied at 22%, with the Conservatives on 21%. Labour's figure was its highest in the YouGov tracker since September 2025 and up six points from a low of 16% recorded in May, whilst Reform's share was its lowest since March 2025.

A YouGov poll for The Times and Sky News, in contrast, recorded Labour and Reform tied at 22%, with the Conservatives on 21%. Labour's figure was its highest in the YouGov tracker since September 2025 and up six points from a low of 16% recorded in May, whilst Reform's share was its lowest since March 2025.

Whilst Politico's aggregate Poll of Polls still places Reform at 23%, compared to 21% for Labour and 19% for the Conservatives, the party has seen an eight point decline from late August 2025.

Whilst Politico's aggregate Poll of Polls still places Reform at 23%, compared to 21% for Labour and 19% for the Conservatives, the party has seen an eight point decline from late August 2025.

The 'Burnham bounce' is real and the numbers back it up: early policy wins on bus fares, energy bills and rough sleeping have cut through with voters who are genuinely willing to give him a hearing. The political momentum has shifted, and Reform's grip on the attention economy is slipping fast.

The 'Burnham bounce' is real and the numbers back it up: early policy wins on bus fares, energy bills and rough sleeping have cut through with voters who are genuinely willing to give him a hearing. The political momentum has shifted, and Reform's grip on the attention economy is slipping fast.

Mehdi Hasan

A one-week polling bump built on cost-of-living gimmicks is nothing more than a flash in the pan. Burnham still hasn't explained how he intends to fund any of his policy ambitions, and with a bounce being always foreseeable after a leadership change. It is only a matter of time until voters realize the math simply doesn't add up.

A one-week polling bump built on cost-of-living gimmicks is nothing more than a flash in the pan. Burnham still hasn't explained how he intends to fund any of his policy ambitions, and with a bounce being always foreseeable after a leadership change. It is only a matter of time until voters realize the math simply doesn't add up.

Spectator (UK)

There is a 50% chance that, on Aug. 31, 2026, Labour's polling average will be at 23.6%, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

There is a 50% chance that, on Aug. 31, 2026, Labour's polling average will be at 23.6%, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Starmer Leadership Crisis

UK: Polls Show Labour Gains After Burnham's First Week

Jason Alden/Bloomberg/Getty Images

Burnham Bounce Puts Labour Ahead of Reform UK

United Kingdom

Politics

The 'Burnham bounce' is real and the numbers back it up — early policy wins on bus fares, energy bills and rough sleeping have cut through with voters who are genuinely willing to give him a hearing. The political momentum has shifted, and Reform's grip on the attention economy is slipping fast.

The 'Burnham bounce' is real and the numbers back it up — early policy wins on bus fares, energy bills and rough sleeping have cut through with voters who are genuinely willing to give him a hearing. The political momentum has shifted, and Reform's grip on the attention economy is slipping fast.

A one-week polling bump built on cost-of-living gimmicks is nothing more than a flash in the pan. Burnham still hasn't explained how he intends to fund any of his policy ambitions, and with a bounce always foreseeable after a leadership change. It is only a matter of time until voters realize the math simply doesn't add up.

A one-week polling bump built on cost-of-living gimmicks is nothing more than a flash in the pan. Burnham still hasn't explained how he intends to fund any of his policy ambitions, and with a bounce always foreseeable after a leadership change. It is only a matter of time until voters realize the math simply doesn't add up.

There is a 50% chance that, on Aug. 31, 2026, Labour's polling average will be at least 23.5%, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

There is a 50% chance that, on Aug. 31, 2026, Labour's polling average will be at least 23.5%, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Burnham Bounce Puts Labour Ahead of Reform UK

Burnham Bounce Puts Labour Ahead of Reform UK

The Spin

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Burnham Bounce Puts Labour Ahead of Reform UK

Burnham Bounce Puts Labour Ahead of Reform UK

The Spin

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