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Three national polls published in late July 2026 showed Labour overtaking or drawing level with Reform UK for the first time in over a year following Andy Burnham's first week as prime minister.

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Three national polls published in late July 2026 showed Labour overtaking or drawing level with Reform UK for the first time in over a year following Andy Burnham's first week as prime minister.

A More in Common survey of 2,061 adults conducted July 24-27 placed Labour on 28%, up four points, whilst Reform fell two points to 24%. The Conservatives remained at 22%, the Liberal Democrats rose one point to 12% and the Greens dropped three points to 8%.

A More in Common survey of 2,061 adults conducted July 24-27 placed Labour on 28%, up four points, whilst Reform fell two points to 24%. The Conservatives remained at 22%, the Liberal Democrats rose one point to 12% and the Greens dropped three points to 8%.

Meanwhile, a Survation poll published July 28 placed Labour on 26%, up one point, with Reform on 24%, down two points — the first Labour lead in a Survation poll since May 2025 and the party's highest vote share in over a year.

Meanwhile, a Survation poll published July 28 placed Labour on 26%, up one point, with Reform on 24%, down two points — the first Labour lead in a Survation poll since May 2025 and the party's highest vote share in over a year.

A YouGov poll for The Times and Sky News, in contrast, recorded Labour and Reform tied at 22%, with the Conservatives on 21%. Labour's figure was its highest in the YouGov tracker since September 2025 and up six points from a low of 16% recorded in May, whilst Reform's share was its lowest since March 2025.

A YouGov poll for The Times and Sky News, in contrast, recorded Labour and Reform tied at 22%, with the Conservatives on 21%. Labour's figure was its highest in the YouGov tracker since September 2025 and up six points from a low of 16% recorded in May, whilst Reform's share was its lowest since March 2025.

Commenting on the polls, Professor Sir John Curtice estimated that Labour had gained approximately two polling points when Starmer announced his resignation as well as a further four points in Burnham's first week as prime minister.

Commenting on the polls, Professor Sir John Curtice estimated that Labour had gained approximately two polling points when Starmer announced his resignation as well as a further four points in Burnham's first week as prime minister.

Whilst Politico's aggregate Poll of Polls still places Reform at 23%, compared to 21% for Labour and 19% for the Conservatives, the party has seen an eight point decline from late August 2025.

Whilst Politico's aggregate Poll of Polls still places Reform at 23%, compared to 21% for Labour and 19% for the Conservatives, the party has seen an eight point decline from late August 2025.

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Three national polls published in late July 2026 showed Labour overtaking or drawing level with Reform UK for the first time in over a year, a shift attributed to what commentators have called the "Burnham bounce" following Andy Burnham's first week as prime minister.

Three national polls published in late July 2026 showed Labour overtaking or drawing level with Reform UK for the first time in over a year, a shift attributed to what commentators have called the "Burnham bounce" following Andy Burnham's first week as prime minister.

A More in Common survey of 2,061 adults conducted July 24-27 put Labour on 28%, up four points, while Reform fell two points to 24%. The Conservatives held steady at 22%, the Liberal Democrats rose one point to 12% and the Greens dropped three points to 8%.

A More in Common survey of 2,061 adults conducted July 24-27 put Labour on 28%, up four points, while Reform fell two points to 24%. The Conservatives held steady at 22%, the Liberal Democrats rose one point to 12% and the Greens dropped three points to 8%.

A Survation poll published July 28 placed Labour on 26%, up one point, with Reform on 24%, down two points. It was the first Labour lead in a Survation poll since May 2025 and the party's highest vote share in over a year, with 34% of respondents saying Burnham would make the best prime minister.

A Survation poll published July 28 placed Labour on 26%, up one point, with Reform on 24%, down two points. It was the first Labour lead in a Survation poll since May 2025 and the party's highest vote share in over a year, with 34% of respondents saying Burnham would make the best prime minister.

A YouGov poll for The Times and Sky News recorded Labour and Reform UK tied at 22%, with the Conservatives on 21%. Labour's figure was its highest in the YouGov tracker since September 2025 and up six points from a low of 16% recorded in May, while Reform's share was its lowest since March 2025.

A YouGov poll for The Times and Sky News recorded Labour and Reform UK tied at 22%, with the Conservatives on 21%. Labour's figure was its highest in the YouGov tracker since September 2025 and up six points from a low of 16% recorded in May, while Reform's share was its lowest since March 2025.

Professor Sir John Curtice noted that Labour gained around two polling points when Starmer announced his resignation and a further four points in Burnham's first week as prime minister. He cautioned that new prime ministers routinely receive a polling boost, citing gains of four to seven points for recent predecessors.

Professor Sir John Curtice noted that Labour gained around two polling points when Starmer announced his resignation and a further four points in Burnham's first week as prime minister. He cautioned that new prime ministers routinely receive a polling boost, citing gains of four to seven points for recent predecessors.

Reform UK's polling decline coincided with ongoing investigations into a £5m donation to Farage from crypto billionaire Christopher Harborne and payments linked to convicted fraudster George Cottrell. Since Farage called his Clacton by-election on July 6, Reform had dropped an average of three points in the polls.

Reform UK's polling decline coincided with ongoing investigations into a £5m donation to Farage from crypto billionaire Christopher Harborne and payments linked to convicted fraudster George Cottrell. Since Farage called his Clacton by-election on July 6, Reform had dropped an average of three points in the polls.

UK: Polls Show Labour Gains After Burnham's First Week

Burnham Bounce Puts Labour Surges Ahead of Reform in UK Polls

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UK: Polls Show Labour Gains After Burnham's First Week

Burnham Bounce Puts Labour Surges Ahead of Reform in UK Polls

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