Independent

Burnham bounce takes Labour top of polls as party set for landslide victory in Manchester

Survation

YouGov

Voting intention, 26-27 July 2026: Ref 22%, Lab 22%, Con 21%, Grn 13%, LD 11%

Moreincommon_

The Telegraph

Burnham Bounce Labour Ahead Reform

Reuters

Uks Labour Party Catches Reform Polls After Burnham Becomes Pm 2026 07 28

Huffington Post

More Polls Chart Reform's Slump As Andy Burnham's Boost With Voters Continues

The Standard

'Andy Burnham bounce' sees Labour leapfrog Nigel Farage's Reform UK into first place, new poll

Politico

POLITICO Poll of Polls

The i Paper

Burnham bounce puts Labour ahead in poll, but can it last?

The New Statesman

Labours Lead May Not Last

mehdirhasan

TalkTV

Youtube

- YouTube

Express.co.uk

Andy Burnham Snap General Election

Metaculus

What Will Uk Labours 7 Poll Moving Average Be On Aug 31 2026

A Survation poll published July 28 put Labour at 26% — up one point — and Reform UK at 24%, down two points, marking Labour's first lead in a Survation survey since May 2025 and its highest vote share in over a year.

A Survation poll published July 28 put Labour at 26% — up one point — and Reform UK at 24%, down two points, marking Labour's first lead in a Survation survey since May 2025 and its highest vote share in over a year.

A More in Common survey of 2,061 adults conducted July 24-27 placed Labour at 28%, up four points, while Reform fell two points to 24% — Labour's first lead in the tracker since March 2025 and its highest vote share since November 2024.

Guardian

A More in Common survey of 2,061 adults conducted July 24-27 placed Labour at 28%, up four points, while Reform fell two points to 24% — Labour's first lead in the tracker since March 2025 and its highest vote share since November 2024.

A YouGov poll for The Times and Sky News recorded Labour and Reform UK level at 22%, with the Conservatives on 21%. Labour's figure was its highest in the YouGov tracker since September 2025, up six points from a low of 16% in May, while Reform's was its lowest since March 2025.

A YouGov poll for The Times and Sky News recorded Labour and Reform UK level at 22%, with the Conservatives on 21%. Labour's figure was its highest in the YouGov tracker since September 2025, up six points from a low of 16% in May, while Reform's was its lowest since March 2025.

The Survation poll found 34% of respondents believed Burnham would make the best prime minister, compared to 22% for Farage and 19% for Kemi Badenoch. A separate YouGov head-to-head poll found 48% preferred Burnham over Farage, who was backed by 22%.

The Survation poll found 34% of respondents believed Burnham would make the best prime minister, compared to 22% for Farage and 19% for Kemi Badenoch. A separate YouGov head-to-head poll found 48% preferred Burnham over Farage, who was backed by 22%.

Across all three polls, the Conservatives placed third, with Survation recording a two-point gain to 21%, YouGov showing them at 21% and More in Common putting them unchanged at 22% — their first sustained average of around 20% in roughly a year.

Across all three polls, the Conservatives placed third, with Survation recording a two-point gain to 21%, YouGov showing them at 21% and More in Common putting them unchanged at 22% — their first sustained average of around 20% in roughly a year.

Despite the three polls showing Labour ahead or level with Reform, Politico's poll of polls — which aggregates results from multiple British Polling Council-approved pollsters — still placed Reform first on 23%, Labour on 21% and the Conservatives on 19%.

Despite the three polls showing Labour ahead or level with Reform, Politico's poll of polls — which aggregates results from multiple British Polling Council-approved pollsters — still placed Reform first on 23%, Labour on 21% and the Conservatives on 19%.

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Three national polls published in late July 2026 showed Labour overtaking or drawing level with Reform UK, marking the first time Labour had led in surveys for more than a year following Andy Burnham's first week as prime minister.

Three national polls published in late July 2026 showed Labour overtaking or drawing level with Reform UK, marking the first time Labour had led in surveys for more than a year following Andy Burnham's first week as prime minister.

A Survation poll put Labour on 26% and Reform UK on 24%, while More in Common placed Labour at 28% and Reform at 24%. YouGov recorded both parties tied at 22%, with Labour up six points from a low of 16% recorded in May 2026.

A Survation poll put Labour on 26% and Reform UK on 24%, while More in Common placed Labour at 28% and Reform at 24%. YouGov recorded both parties tied at 22%, with Labour up six points from a low of 16% recorded in May 2026.

Polling expert Lord Hayward said there was "no doubt" about a "Burnham bounce," while Professor Sir John Curtice estimated the bounce was worth six points in total — two from Starmer's departure and four from Burnham's first week in office.

Polling expert Lord Hayward said there was "no doubt" about a "Burnham bounce," while Professor Sir John Curtice estimated the bounce was worth six points in total — two from Starmer's departure and four from Burnham's first week in office.

Labour's candidate Bev Craig was projected to win around 39% of first-choice votes in the Greater Manchester mayoral election, with Reform UK on 19%, according to More in Common polling. Reform had led the contest when it began, following local election results in May that gave the party 30.8% in the region.

Labour's candidate Bev Craig was projected to win around 39% of first-choice votes in the Greater Manchester mayoral election, with Reform UK on 19%, according to More in Common polling. Reform had led the contest when it began, following local election results in May that gave the party 30.8% in the region.

Nigel Farage faces a parliamentary standards inquiry into an undeclared £5 million donation from crypto billionaire Christopher Harborne, while the Metropolitan Police is separately investigating two £250,000 donations made to Reform UK via a company controlled by deputy leader Richard Tice.

Nigel Farage faces a parliamentary standards inquiry into an undeclared £5 million donation from crypto billionaire Christopher Harborne, while the Metropolitan Police is separately investigating two £250,000 donations made to Reform UK via a company controlled by deputy leader Richard Tice.

Burnham announced several cost-of-living measures in his first week, including removing VAT from electricity bills, capping bus fares at £2 outside London and cutting business rates for pubs. Critics, including some within Labour, questioned whether the policies were fully costed.

Burnham announced several cost-of-living measures in his first week, including removing VAT from electricity bills, capping bus fares at £2 outside London and cutting business rates for pubs. Critics, including some within Labour, questioned whether the policies were fully costed.

UK: Polls Show Labour Gains After Burnham's First Week

UK: Polls Show Labour Gains After Burnham's First Week

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UK: Polls Show Labour Gains After Burnham's First Week

UK: Polls Show Labour Gains After Burnham's First Week

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