Al-Monitor

UK outlaws two Iranian groups over antisemitic attacks in Britain

Anadolu Agency

UK lists Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps as 'terror group'

France 24

UK unveils plan to ban Iran Revolutionary Guards: ministry

The Telegraph

Keir Starmer Proscribes Irans Islamic Revolutionary Guards

The Jewish Chronicle

IRGC to be proscribed as national security threat

Saudigazette

UK designates Iran's IRGC as terrorist organization

Guardian

UK to list Irans Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as terrorist organisation

Independent

UK proscribes Irans IRGC as terror group

eurojewcong

Mehr News Agency

UK terming IRGC as terrorist indicates its enmity with Iran

PressTV

Iran's Armed Forces warn EU of consequences of IRGC designation

MiddleEastEye

Reuters

Uk Proscribes Irans Irgc Terrorist Organisation Sky News Reports 2026 07 13

Metaculus

Will The Iranian Government Lose Power Before 2027

House of Commons

Alex Vatanka

Mona Yacoubian

Daniel Byman

Polymarket

Kalshi

J.P. Morgan

The Washington Post

Mossad Commentary

Neil Stone

Suzanne Maloney

Arash Azizi

Al Jazeera Centre for Studies

Victor Davis Hanson

Witold Repetowicz

Mehdi Parpanchi

Mohammed M. Hafez

Stimson Center

"Current and former U.S. officials say they see little sign, at least so far, of a mass popular uprising in Iran or of significant fissures within the government or security forces that will result in a new regime."

"There is an 11% chance that the Iranian government will lose power before 2027."

"There is an 8.9% chance that the Iranian regime will collapse and Reza Pahlavi will become head of state before January 1, 2027."

"There is an 19% chance that the Iranian regime will fall before 2027."

"Regime change is possible but unlikely."

"In any case, the Islamic Republic faces a significant challenge, and its long-term survival is not assured."

"Regime collapse or irreversible degradation is more likely than regime survival (65% likelihood)."

“The regime cannot continue that long.”

"If Trump sees it through, and I think he will, I think they're [going to] fall pretty soon, in two, three, four weeks."

"I think the regime will collapse before Iranian New Year (Nowruz), which is March 20th."

Will the Islamic Republic of Iran Experience Regime Collapse by 2027?

The UK government designated Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization on Monday under the National Security (State Threats) Act, following the fast-tracking of the legislation as pledged by Prime Minister Keir Starmer in April.

The UK government designated Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization on Monday under the National Security (State Threats) Act, following the fast-tracking of the legislation as pledged by Prime Minister Keir Starmer in April.

Supporting or assisting any of the designated groups is now a criminal offense in the UK, carrying a maximum sentence of 14 years in prison, rising to life imprisonment for spying, sabotage or foreign interference on behalf of banned groups.

Supporting or assisting any of the designated groups is now a criminal offense in the UK, carrying a maximum sentence of 14 years in prison, rising to life imprisonment for spying, sabotage or foreign interference on behalf of banned groups.

The government also designated the Islamic Movement of Companions of the Right (IMCR), an Iran-linked group that has publicly claimed seven attacks on UK locations tied to Jewish and Israeli communities, including an arson attack on four Hatzola ambulances in Golders Green on March 23.

The government also designated the Islamic Movement of Companions of the Right (IMCR), an Iran-linked group that has publicly claimed seven attacks on UK locations tied to Jewish and Israeli communities, including an arson attack on four Hatzola ambulances in Golders Green on March 23.

Security Minister Angela Eagle told Parliament that members of the IRGC's Quds Force "almost certainly directed IMCR attacks across Europe" and that the IRGC's role included intelligence activity, the use of proxy actors and projecting influence to advance Iranian state objectives.

Security Minister Angela Eagle told Parliament that members of the IRGC's Quds Force "almost certainly directed IMCR attacks across Europe" and that the IRGC's role included intelligence activity, the use of proxy actors and projecting influence to advance Iranian state objectives.

The volunteer corps of Russia's GRU military intelligence agency was also designated under the new legislation. Security Minister Angela Eagle said the corps was "controlled, co-ordinated and overseen" by Russian military spy chiefs and included former members of the Wagner mercenary group.

The volunteer corps of Russia's GRU military intelligence agency was also designated under the new legislation. Security Minister Angela Eagle said the corps was "controlled, co-ordinated and overseen" by Russian military spy chiefs and included former members of the Wagner mercenary group.

Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper summoned Iranian Ambassador Seyed Ali Mousavi to inform him of the ban. The three designations must be approved by Parliament before taking effect and would be the first groups proscribed under the new powers.

Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper summoned Iranian Ambassador Seyed Ali Mousavi to inform him of the ban. The three designations must be approved by Parliament before taking effect and would be the first groups proscribed under the new powers.

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