The Associated Press

US Congress welcomes Taiwans parliamentary leader to Washington, affirms support for the island

Senator Jeff Merkley

Shaheen, Duckworth, Schatz, Rosen, Merkley, Kim, Slotkin Statement on Meeting with the Speaker of Taiwans Legislative Yuan

Newsmax

1260811

Taipei Times

Taiwan thanks US for warning to governors

South China Morning Post

Beijing slams US, European concerns over coastguard patrols near Taiwan

Forbes

What The U.S. Must Do To Save Taiwan From Chinas Clutches

PIME Asia News

Direct flights between Taipei and Washington, on the semiconductor route

Modern Diplomacy

US Accuses China of Pressuring States and Businesses Over Taiwan Ties

US lawmakers vow support for Taiwan

Reuters

Uk France Germany Raise Alarm About Chinese Activities Off Eastern Taiwan 2026 06 24

Radio Taiwan International

Taiwanese lawmaker delegation meets with U.S. legislators in Washington-News-Radio Taiwan International

Devdiscourse

U.S. Encourages Deeper Ties with Taiwan Amid China's Diplomatic Pressure

EVA Air commences direct Taipei-Washington, D.C. flights-News-Radio Taiwan International

XINHUA

DPP slammed for stoking tensions across Taiwan Strait

People's Daily

China urges U.S. to stop

Metaculus

China Controls Taiwan after Invasion

William Burns

Economist Intelligence Unit

Council on Foreign Relations

Polymarket

Office of the Director of National Intelligence

Congress.gov


Philip Davidson

Ben Lewis

Amanda Hsiao

Urmas Hõbepappel

Geopolitics Agenda

ASPI - The Strategist

"There is a 2% chance that China will invade Taiwan by June 30th, 2026."

“The [intelligence community] assesses that Chinese leaders do not currently plan to execute an invasion of Taiwan in 2027, nor do they have a fixed timeline for achieving unification.”

"There is a 10% chance that China will attack or blockade Taiwan during 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community."

“In purging the highest levels of the military, the leadership has effectively set aside the option of an invasion for at least the next two years.”

"Still, we retain our view that a direct, purposeful Chinese invasion of Taiwan is unlikely, with the likelihood of U.S. intervention being the biggest deterrent."

"A Chinese attempt at blockading or invading Taiwan in 2026 is unlikely."

“We know as a matter of intelligence that he’s [Xi Jinping] instructed the People’s Liberation Army to be ready by 2027 to conduct a successful invasion.”

"Three such scenarios — an intensification of the Russia-Ukraine war, U.S. strikes inside Venezuela, and a cross-strait crisis between China and Taiwan — were considered to have a 50 percent chance or higher of occurring in 2026 with a high impact on U.S. interests."

Will There be a Military Crisis in the Taiwan Strait in 2026?

Taiwan's Legislative Yuan Speaker Han Kuo-yu met with more than 30 U.S. House members at the Longworth House Office Building on June 24, including former Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Rep. Michael McCaul, as the Trump administration reviews a $14 billion arms sales package to Taiwan.

Taiwan's Legislative Yuan Speaker Han Kuo-yu met with more than 30 U.S. House members at the Longworth House Office Building on June 24, including former Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Rep. Michael McCaul, as the Trump administration reviews a $14 billion arms sales package to Taiwan.

Seven Democratic senators, including Senate Foreign Relations Committee Ranking Member Jeanne Shaheen, met with Han's delegation and called on the Trump administration to proceed with the $14 billion arms sale without further delay, citing China's "daily grey zone aggression" near Taiwan.

Seven Democratic senators, including Senate Foreign Relations Committee Ranking Member Jeanne Shaheen, met with Han's delegation and called on the Trump administration to proceed with the $14 billion arms sale without further delay, citing China's "daily grey zone aggression" near Taiwan.

Britain, France and Germany issued a rare joint statement on June 24 expressing concern over Chinese coastguard patrols east of Taiwan, warning the activities "threaten regional stability and the freedom of navigation and safety of international shipping." Beijing rejected the criticism, calling its patrols lawful.

Britain, France and Germany issued a rare joint statement on June 24 expressing concern over Chinese coastguard patrols east of Taiwan, warning the activities "threaten regional stability and the freedom of navigation and safety of international shipping." Beijing rejected the criticism, calling its patrols lawful.

The U.S. Departments of State, Commerce and Agriculture sent joint letters to governors and business leaders warning that Chinese diplomats have been contacting state governments and private firms to discourage engagement with Taiwan while misrepresenting U.S. policy.

The U.S. Departments of State, Commerce and Agriculture sent joint letters to governors and business leaders warning that Chinese diplomats have been contacting state governments and private firms to discourage engagement with Taiwan while misrepresenting U.S. policy.

Taiwan has risen to become the fourth-largest trading partner of the United States, surpassing Germany, driven largely by demand for advanced semiconductors and tech hardware. Taiwanese exports to the U.S. jumped 329 percent from 2019 to 2025.

Taiwan has risen to become the fourth-largest trading partner of the United States, surpassing Germany, driven largely by demand for advanced semiconductors and tech hardware. Taiwanese exports to the U.S. jumped 329 percent from 2019 to 2025.

EVA Air launched its first nonstop service between Taoyuan International Airport and Washington Dulles International Airport on June 26, a route projected to generate an annual domestic economic impact of $50 million. Han's delegation was among the inaugural passengers.

EVA Air launched its first nonstop service between Taoyuan International Airport and Washington Dulles International Airport on June 26, a route projected to generate an annual domestic economic impact of $50 million. Han's delegation was among the inaugural passengers.

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China-Taiwan Relations

US Congress welcomes Taiwan’s parliamentary leader to Washington, affirms support for the island

US Congress welcomes Taiwan’s parliamentary leader to Washington, affirms support for the island

Taiwan

United States of America