Gutting USAID didn't just cut a budget line — it dismantled the early-warning infrastructure that catches outbreaks before they explode. The Bundibugyo strain had likely been spreading for weeks before detection because surveillance systems were hollowed out and trusted local health workers were gone. Preparedness isn't charity; it's the firewall that keeps regional crises from becoming global ones.
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There is a 9% chance that a case of Bundibugyo Ebola disease will be first confirmed in the US before 2027, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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