The government's export control on Anthropic's Fable 5 is a reckless overreach that punishes defenders more than bad actors. The jailbreak cited as justification is narrow, non-universal and replicable on GPT-5.5 and Chinese models alike — pulling best-in-class tools from security teams while adversaries advance freely is a strategic blunder. Transparent, science-based regulation is the only legitimate path forward.
Anthropic championed Mythos as a cyberweapon requiring strict guardrails, then refused to patch a confirmed jailbreak when the government asked — that's a stunning betrayal of its own safety-first brand. National security has to outrank revenue cycles and pre-IPO valuations, full stop. The export control was a reluctant but necessary response to Anthropic's refusal to cooperate with a reasonable safety request.
There is a 36% chance that, before 2029, a new international organization focused on AI safety will be established with participation from at least three G7 countries, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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