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Brazilian court convicts Eduardo Bolsonaro of seeking US help in father's legal battle

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"There is a 40% chance that President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva will be reelected as Brazil's president in October of 2026."

"There is a 46% chance that Lula will win the October 2026 Brazilian presidential election."

"There is a 48% chance that Lula will win the October 2026 Brazilian presidential election."

"There is a 50% chance Lula will win Brazil's 2026 presidential election."

"There is a 50% chance that President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva will be reelected as Brazil's president in October of 2026."

"Lula’s reelection chances are right around 50%. It’s close to a coinflip."

"There is a 52.40% chance that Lula will win the October 2026 Brazilian presidential election."

"Lula’s position, however, is viewed with caution, as he leads for now but faces obstacles, including high rejection and government disapproval."

"There is a 68% chance that Lula will win the October 2026 Brazilian presidential election."

Will Lula Win the October 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election?

Brazil's Supreme Court on Tuesday convicted former lawmaker Eduardo Bolsonaro of coercion, sentencing him in absentia to four years and two months in prison for lobbying the U.S. government to interfere in his father's coup trial.

Felipe Moura Brasil

Brazil's Supreme Court on Tuesday convicted former lawmaker Eduardo Bolsonaro of coercion, sentencing him in absentia to four years and two months in prison for lobbying the U.S. government to interfere in his father's coup trial.

Justices determined that Eduardo illegally pressured U.S. authorities to impose sanctions and tariffs on Brazil to influence the trial of his father, ex-President Jair Bolsonaro, who is serving <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.verity.news/story/2025/bolsonaro-starts-year-term-for-coup-plot">a 27-year sentence for plotting a coup</a>.

Justices determined that Eduardo illegally pressured U.S. authorities to impose sanctions and tariffs on Brazil to influence the trial of his father, ex-President Jair Bolsonaro, who is serving a 27-year sentence for plotting a coup.

Justice Alexandre de Moraes, who oversaw both cases, stated that Eduardo's role as a federal lawmaker was "not to lobby overseas against his own country." <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.verity.news/story/2025/us-sanctions-brazilian-judge-over-human-rights-allegations">The U.S. government sanctioned De Moraes and his wife</a> in July last year.

Justice Alexandre de Moraes, who oversaw both cases, stated that Eduardo's role as a federal lawmaker was "not to lobby overseas against his own country." The U.S. government sanctioned De Moraes and his wife in July last year.

<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.verity.news/story/2025/trump-imposes-tariffs-on-brazil-over-bolsonaro-trial">U.S. President Donald Trump imposed a 50% tariff on Brazil</a> last July, citing Jair Bolsonaro's prosecution. The U.S. also sanctioned Justice de Moraes, but both measures were later withdrawn as relations between Trump and Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva improved.

U.S. President Donald Trump imposed a 50% tariff on Brazil last July, citing Jair Bolsonaro's prosecution. The U.S. also sanctioned Justice de Moraes, but both measures were later withdrawn as relations between Trump and Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva improved.

Eduardo, who has lived in Texas since February 2025, called the conviction "baseless and senseless," claiming that he was never formally served and learned of the case only through media reports.

Eduardo Bolsonaro

Eduardo, who has lived in Texas since February 2025, called the conviction "baseless and senseless," claiming that he was never formally served and learned of the case only through media reports.

The conviction bars Eduardo from holding public office in Brazil for eight years. He had been campaigning for his brother, <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.verity.news/story/2026/bolsonaro-edges-lula-in-brazil-race-polls">Sen. Flávio Bolsonaro, who is expected to challenge Lula</a> in October's presidential election.

The conviction bars Eduardo from holding public office in Brazil for eight years. He had been campaigning for his brother, Sen. Flávio Bolsonaro, who is expected to challenge Lula in October's presidential election.

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Brazil's Supreme Court convicted former lawmaker Eduardo Bolsonaro on Tuesday of coercion, sentencing him in absentia to four years and two months in prison for lobbying the U.S. government to interfere in his father's coup trial.

Brazil's Supreme Court convicted former lawmaker Eduardo Bolsonaro on Tuesday of coercion, sentencing him in absentia to four years and two months in prison for lobbying the U.S. government to interfere in his father's coup trial.

Justices determined that Eduardo Bolsonaro illegally pressured U.S. authorities to impose sanctions and tariffs on Brazil to influence the trial of his father, ex-President Jair Bolsonaro, who is serving a 27-year sentence for plotting a coup.

Justices determined that Eduardo Bolsonaro illegally pressured U.S. authorities to impose sanctions and tariffs on Brazil to influence the trial of his father, ex-President Jair Bolsonaro, who is serving a 27-year sentence for plotting a coup.

Justice Alexandre de Moraes, who oversaw both cases, stated that Eduardo Bolsonaro's role as a federal lawmaker was "not to lobby overseas against his own country." De Moraes and his wife were sanctioned by the U.S. government in July last year.

Justice Alexandre de Moraes, who oversaw both cases, stated that Eduardo Bolsonaro's role as a federal lawmaker was "not to lobby overseas against his own country." De Moraes and his wife were sanctioned by the U.S. government in July last year.

Trump imposed a 50% tariff on Brazil last July, citing Jair Bolsonaro's prosecution. The U.S. also sanctioned Justice de Moraes, but both measures were later withdrawn as relations between Trump and Brazilian President Lula improved.

Trump imposed a 50% tariff on Brazil last July, citing Jair Bolsonaro's prosecution. The U.S. also sanctioned Justice de Moraes, but both measures were later withdrawn as relations between Trump and Brazilian President Lula improved.

Eduardo Bolsonaro, who has lived in Texas since February 2025, called the conviction "baseless and senseless" on social media, saying he was never formally served and learned of the case only through media reports.

Eduardo Bolsonaro, who has lived in Texas since February 2025, called the conviction "baseless and senseless" on social media, saying he was never formally served and learned of the case only through media reports.

The conviction bars Eduardo Bolsonaro from holding public office in Brazil for eight years. He had been campaigning for his brother, Sen. Flávio Bolsonaro, who is expected to challenge Lula in October's presidential election.

The conviction bars Eduardo Bolsonaro from holding public office in Brazil for eight years. He had been campaigning for his brother, Sen. Flávio Bolsonaro, who is expected to challenge Lula in October's presidential election.

Brazil's top court just proved its institutions can hold the line against political interference. Eduardo Bolsonaro was convicted for lobbying American politicians to punish Brazilian judges handling his father's case — a blatant attempt to weaponize foreign pressure against domestic sovereignty. Strong democracies don't let that slide, and Brazil didn't.

Brazil's top court just proved its institutions can hold the line against political interference. Eduardo Bolsonaro was convicted for lobbying American politicians to punish Brazilian judges handling his father's case — a blatant attempt to weaponize foreign pressure against domestic sovereignty. Strong democracies don't let that slide, and Brazil didn't.

Mario Nawfal

Nísia Trindade Lima

Eduardo Bolsonaro was convicted without ever being properly served under Brazilian law or international agreements — a letter rogatory reached another defendant but never him, despite reporters easily finding his U.S. address. This is a politically motivated prosecution designed to erase his name from future elections. Countries worldwide are already condemning the STF's conduct, and that condemnation is well earned.

Eduardo Bolsonaro was convicted without ever being properly served under Brazilian law or international agreements — a letter rogatory reached another defendant but never him, despite reporters easily finding his U.S. address. This is a politically motivated prosecution designed to erase his name from future elections. Countries worldwide are already condemning the STF's conduct, and that condemnation is well earned.

Jair Renan Bolsonaro

Carlos Portinho

Brazil Convicts Eduardo Bolsonaro for Coercion

Brazil

Crime & justice

Politics

Brazil's top court just proved its institutions can hold the line against political interference. Eduardo was convicted for lobbying U.S. politicians to punish Brazilian judges handling his father's case — a blatant attempt to weaponize foreign pressure against domestic sovereignty. Strong democracies don't let that slide, and Brazil didn't.

Brazil's top court just proved its institutions can hold the line against political interference. Eduardo was convicted for lobbying U.S. politicians to punish Brazilian judges handling his father's case — a blatant attempt to weaponize foreign pressure against domestic sovereignty. Strong democracies don't let that slide, and Brazil didn't.

Eduardo Bolsonaro was convicted without ever being properly served under Brazilian law or international agreements — a letter rogatory reached another defendant but never him, despite reporters easily finding his U.S. address. This is a politically motivated prosecution designed to erase his name from future elections.

Eduardo Bolsonaro was convicted without ever being properly served under Brazilian law or international agreements — a letter rogatory reached another defendant but never him, despite reporters easily finding his U.S. address. This is a politically motivated prosecution designed to erase his name from future elections.

There's a 52.5% chance that President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva will be reelected as Brazil's president in October 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

There's a 52.5% chance that President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva will be reelected as Brazil's president in October 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Arthur Menescal/Bloomberg/Getty Images