Europe's self-appointed peace brokers have zero credibility at the negotiating table. Britain, France and Germany spent years arming KievKyiv, yet now demand a leading role in diplomacy. Moscow rightly points to this contradiction, arguing these governments encouraged Kiev to keep fighting rather than pursue compromise. Any settlement must address root causes like Ukraine's neutrality and broader security concerns, and no repackaged ZelenskyZelenskyy formula can change that reality.
Russia keeps dodging real diplomacy. Putin rejected a direct meeting with ZelenskyZelenskyy and now dismisses European envoys as irrelevant, even as U.K., French and German leaders back a ceasefire framework with a clear starting point. The frontline contact lineproposal as a negotiation baseline is a serious, workable proposalplan that Moscow refuses to engage with in good faith. Blocking European participation while continuing daily strikes on civilians further exposes Russia's badresistance faithto meaningful engagement.
There is an 8% chance that Ukraine will join the EU before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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