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El Nino is here and scientists fear itll be big, bad and costly with heat, floods, droughts, fires

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El Nino has arrived: Scientists warn global phenomenon is primed to match catastrophic event that killed 50 million

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El Nio is officially here, and it could get historically super

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El Nio officially arrives with potential to become strongest Super El Nio ever

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The Hill

5920022 Super El Nino Weather Forecast Predictions Summer Winter

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Is El Nio Overhyped? What Farmers and Ranchers Could Expect This Summer

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Cliff Mass Weather Blog: Is a Super El Nino Coming?

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"[C]limate change is just a very, very expensive form of tax."

"I believe in climate change caused by human beings. What I'm skeptical about is the glib notion that it means the end of the world as we know it."

"The clock is no longer just ticking, it is banging."

"There is no long-term prosperity without action on climate change."

"The time for seeking global solutions [to climate change] is running out."

"The climate crisis is the existential threat. That's not hyperbole; it's a fact."

"[W]e are killing our planet."

Climate change is "above all, an existential crisis."

"Climate change is one of the greatest challenges mankind faces."

"If we don't take action, the collapse of our civilisations and the extinction of much of the natural world is on the horizon."

"Humanity is on thin ice — and that ice is melting fast."

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"[We will] build on historic investments and progress by ensuring communities have the resources they need for resilience planning and project implementation as well as creating a framework for a cohesive, coordinated approach to address the impacts of sea level rise, intensified storms, and localized flooding.”

"Florida is adopting various strategies to mitigate flood risks, planning investments to modernize or build new water management plants, implement flood barriers, and strengthen drainage infrastructures, with the goal of introducing building standards that require more stable and elevated structures relative to sea level."

"Thankfully, it doesn’t appear as though the entire state will get drowned out anytime soon."

"Florida homes subject to the risk of flooding could lose 5 to 15 percent of their value in the next decade, barring any significant changes to the market in that time."

"In South Florida, another eleven inches of sea level rise is possible by 2040, and up to seven feet of sea rise by 2100 is likely and would be catastrophic."

“There’s a rapidly approaching deadline for many coastal communities that demands urgent attention.”

"Just 25 years from now, a total of 23,000 people and 17,000 homes in Florida will experience annual coastal flooding, with high tides or strong winds that whip ocean water onto land, including into areas that would have previously been unaffected, research by non-profit Climate Central found."

"Floods could leave coastal communities in states like Florida and California unlivable in two decades."

"Several cities in Florida, including the entirety of the Everglades, would be looking at the same fate by 2050."

"The two ice sheets collapsing would raise sea levels by 213 feet, consuming Florida entirely."

Will Florida Become Partially Uninhabitable due to Climate Change?

The U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration officially declared the arrival of El Niño on Thursday, stating there is a 63% chance it will become a "very strong" event between November 2026 and January 2027, ranking among the largest since 1950.

The U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration officially declared the arrival of El Niño on Thursday, stating there is a 63% chance it will become a "very strong" event between November 2026 and January 2027, ranking among the largest since 1950.

Forecasters say this El Niño is developing earlier and faster than typical, with ocean temperatures in the eastern Pacific already 3.8°F above average. Super El Niño events are relatively rare, with the most recent ones occurring in 2015-16, 1997-98 and 1982-83.

Forecasters say this El Niño is developing earlier and faster than typical, with ocean temperatures in the eastern Pacific already 3.8°F above average. Super El Niño events are relatively rare, with the most recent ones occurring in 2015-16, 1997-98 and 1982-83.

El Niño tends to suppress Atlantic hurricane activity while increasing storm activity in the Pacific. The NOAA and Colorado State University forecast 8-14 and 11 named Atlantic storms ,respectively this season, with the average being 14.

El Niño tends to suppress Atlantic hurricane activity while increasing storm activity in the Pacific. The NOAA and Colorado State University forecast 8-14 and 11 named Atlantic storms ,respectively this season, with the average being 14.

In the U.S., El Niño typically brings wetter conditions to the South and warmer, drier weather to the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies. It can also raise the risk of high-tide flooding and harmful algae blooms along the West Coast.

In the U.S., El Niño typically brings wetter conditions to the South and warmer, drier weather to the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies. It can also raise the risk of high-tide flooding and harmful algae blooms along the West Coast.

Globally, El Niño is associated with drought in Australia, Indonesia and parts of Africa, disrupted monsoons in India and flooding in parts of South America. Governments in Central America's "Dry Corridor" have raised alert levels over food security concerns.

Globally, El Niño is associated with drought in Australia, Indonesia and parts of Africa, disrupted monsoons in India and flooding in parts of South America. Governments in Central America's "Dry Corridor" have raised alert levels over food security concerns.

Scientists say El Niño's heat transfer from ocean to atmosphere, combined with existing global warming, makes 2027 likely to set a new record for the planet's warmest year.

Scientists say El Niño's heat transfer from ocean to atmosphere, combined with existing global warming, makes 2027 likely to set a new record for the planet's warmest year.

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El Niño tends to suppress Atlantic hurricane activity while increasing storm activity in the Pacific. NOAA and Colorado State University forecast 8 to 14 and 11 named Atlantic storms respectively this season, both below the average of 14 named storms.

El Niño tends to suppress Atlantic hurricane activity while increasing storm activity in the Pacific. NOAA and Colorado State University forecast 8 to 14 and 11 named Atlantic storms respectively this season, both below the average of 14 named storms.

Scientists say El Niño's heat transfer from ocean to atmosphere, combined with existing global warming, makes 2027 likely to set a new record for the planet's warmest year. Stanford climate economist Marshall Burke noted evidence that the U.S. economy grows more slowly when temperatures are above normal.

Scientists say El Niño's heat transfer from ocean to atmosphere, combined with existing global warming, makes 2027 likely to set a new record for the planet's warmest year. Stanford climate economist Marshall Burke noted evidence that the U.S. economy grows more slowly when temperatures are above normal.

A Super El Niño is coming, and the science backs it up — NOAA is giving it a 63% chance of becoming one of the strongest events since 1950, virtually guaranteeing 2027 sets a new global temperature record. This isn't just a weather story; strong El Niños devastate economies, trigger droughts, and fuel wildfires across multiple continents. The background climate is already hotter than at any point in recorded history, meaning the knock-on effects could be far worse than anything seen before.

A Super El Niño is coming, and the science backs it up — NOAA is giving it a 63% chance of becoming one of the strongest events since 1950, virtually guaranteeing 2027 sets a new global temperature record. This isn't just a weather story; strong El Niños devastate economies, trigger droughts, and fuel wildfires across multiple continents. The background climate is already hotter than at any point in recorded history, meaning the knock-on effects could be far worse than anything seen before.

The Super El Niño panic is getting way ahead of the actual science. Most reliable dynamical models point to a weak-to-moderate El Niño at best, and spring forecasts are historically the least skillful — meaning the breathless headlines are built on shaky ground. Producers and the public are better served by waiting for post-July data before making major decisions based on fear-driven forecasts circulating on social media.

The Super El Niño panic is getting way ahead of the actual science. Most reliable dynamical models point to a weak-to-moderate El Niño at best, and spring forecasts are historically the least skillful — meaning the breathless headlines are built on shaky ground. Producers and the public are better served by waiting for post-July data before making major decisions based on fear-driven forecasts circulating on social media.

Climate Change

Fabrice Coffrini/Getty Images

Fabrice Coffrini/Getty Images

NOAA Declares El Niño; Super Event Likely by 2027

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Climate change

United States of America

A Super El Niño is coming, and with the NOAA giving it a 63% chance of becoming one of the strongest events since 1950, it's virtually guaranteed to set a new global temperature record next year. This isn't just a weather story, as strong El Niños devastate economies, trigger droughts and fuel wildfires across multiple continents. With the background climate already hotter than any time in recorded history, the knock-on effects could be unprecedented.

A Super El Niño is coming, and with the NOAA giving it a 63% chance of becoming one of the strongest events since 1950, it's virtually guaranteed to set a new global temperature record next year. This isn't just a weather story, as strong El Niños devastate economies, trigger droughts and fuel wildfires across multiple continents. With the background climate already hotter than any time in recorded history, the knock-on effects could be unprecedented.

There's a 50% chance that the average global surface air temperature in 2026 will be 1.46°C warmer than the pre-industrial baseline, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

There's a 50% chance that the average global surface air temperature in 2026 will be 1.46°C warmer than the pre-industrial baseline, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

NOAA Declares El Niño Forming, Super Event Likely by 2027

NOAA Declares El Niño; Forming, Super Event Likely by 2027

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NOAA Declares El Niño Forming, Super Event Likely by 2027

NOAA Declares El Niño; Forming, Super Event Likely by 2027

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