South Africa is handling the xenophobia crisis responsibly — President Ramaphosa has condemned the violence, reinforced border security and made clear that only authorized officials can enforce immigration law. The repatriation of Nigerians is fully funded and orderly, with proper reception plans in place. Respecting South African law is a reasonable expectation of anyone living there, and the government is acting within its constitutional obligations.
South Africa's response to the killing and harassment of Nigerian nationals has been woefully inadequate, and economic retaliation is a legitimate option on the table. Imposing higher taxes on South African companies operating in Nigeria would send a clear message that attacks on African migrants carry real consequences. The pattern of xenophobic violence stretching back to 2008 proves that diplomatic niceties alone have never been enough to protect lives.
There is an 8% chance that South Africa will experience a civil war before 2036, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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