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"84% of bets back a 2026 exit for Keir Starmer."

"There is a 62% chance Keir Starmer will be out before Sep 1, 2026."

"There's a 32% chance Keir Starmer will remain Prime Minister in 2026."

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Will Keir Starmer Remain Prime Minister Through to the End of 2026?

The UK government is set to release more than 1,000 pages of documents relating to Lord Peter Mandelson's appointment as US ambassador, described as one of the largest publications ever laid before Parliament.

The UK government is set to release more than 1,000 pages of documents relating to Lord Peter Mandelson's appointment as US ambassador, described as one of the largest publications ever laid before Parliament.

The documents are reported to contain no record of measures taken to address security concerns raised over Mandelson's associations with senior figures in foreign states, casting doubt on assurances given to MPs on the foreign affairs select committee.

Guardian

guardian

The documents are reported to contain no record of measures taken to address security concerns raised over Mandelson's associations with senior figures in foreign states, casting doubt on assurances given to MPs on the foreign affairs select committee.

The Metropolitan Police asked the Cabinet Office to withhold certain documents, including a nine-page summary of Mandelson's security vetting process, warning their release could harm its ongoing criminal investigation and any potential prosecution.

The Metropolitan Police asked the Cabinet Office to withhold certain documents, including a nine-page summary of Mandelson's security vetting process, warning their release could harm its ongoing criminal investigation and any potential prosecution.

UK Security Vetting recommended against granting Mandelson the security clearance required for the Washington posting, but senior Foreign Office official Sir Olly Robbins overruled that advice. Robbins was effectively dismissed in April after the decision became public.

UK Security Vetting recommended against granting Mandelson the security clearance required for the Washington posting, but senior Foreign Office official Sir Olly Robbins overruled that advice. Robbins was effectively dismissed in April after the decision became public.

The first tranche of documents, released in March, revealed that Prime Minister Keir Starmer was warned Mandelson's association with Jeffrey Epstein posed a "general reputational risk," and that national security adviser Jonathan Powell described the appointment as "weirdly rushed."

The first tranche of documents, released in March, revealed that Prime Minister Keir Starmer was warned Mandelson's association with Jeffrey Epstein posed a "general reputational risk," and that national security adviser Jonathan Powell described the appointment as "weirdly rushed."

The second batch of documents is expected to include private messages between Mandelson and ministers and advisers. The Conservatives accused the government of a cover-up, with shadow minister Alex Burghart warning the conduct "will be viewed by the House as a contempt of Parliament."

The second batch of documents is expected to include private messages between Mandelson and ministers and advisers. The Conservatives accused the government of a cover-up, with shadow minister Alex Burghart warning the conduct "will be viewed by the House as a contempt of Parliament."

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