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New report suggests more global temperature records ahead

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"The clock is no longer just ticking, it is banging."

"There is no long-term prosperity without action on climate change."

"The time for seeking global solutions [to climate change] is running out."

"The climate crisis is the existential threat. That's not hyperbole; it's a fact."

"[W]e are killing our planet."

Climate change is "above all, an existential crisis."

"Climate change is one of the greatest challenges mankind faces."

"If we don't take action, the collapse of our civilisations and the extinction of much of the natural world is on the horizon."

"Humanity is on thin ice — and that ice is melting fast."

"We haven't yet exceeded the bounds of viable human civilisation, but we're getting close."

Is Climate Change an Existential Threat?

The UN's World Meteorological Organization released a report projecting that global average temperatures between 2026 and 2030 will range from 1.3C to 1.9C above the 1850-1900 pre-industrial average, with a 75% chance the five-year mean will exceed 1.5C.

The UN's World Meteorological Organization released a report projecting that global average temperatures between 2026 and 2030 will range from 1.3C to 1.9C above the 1850-1900 pre-industrial average, with a 75% chance the five-year mean will exceed 1.5C.

The WMO report puts an 86% probability on at least one year between 2026 and 2030 surpassing 2024 as the hottest year on record, and a 91% chance that at least one year will temporarily exceed the 1.5C threshold.

The WMO report puts an 86% probability on at least one year between 2026 and 2030 surpassing 2024 as the hottest year on record, and a 91% chance that at least one year will temporarily exceed the 1.5C threshold.

An El Niño event is forecast to develop by late 2026, with a 96% chance of occurring between December 2026 and February 2027, raising the likelihood that 2027 could set a new global temperature record.

An El Niño event is forecast to develop by late 2026, with a 96% chance of occurring between December 2026 and February 2027, raising the likelihood that 2027 could set a new global temperature record.

The report projects Arctic winters over the next five years will average 2.8C above the 1991-2020 baseline — more than three times the global mean temperature anomaly — while Arctic sea ice is expected to continue shrinking in summer.

The report projects Arctic winters over the next five years will average 2.8C above the 1991-2020 baseline — more than three times the global mean temperature anomaly — while Arctic sea ice is expected to continue shrinking in summer.

The WMO report warns of drier conditions in the Amazon basin, increasing wildfire risk and potentially reducing the rainforest's capacity to absorb carbon dioxide, while the Sahel region is forecast to receive above-normal rainfall.

The WMO report warns of drier conditions in the Amazon basin, increasing wildfire risk and potentially reducing the rainforest's capacity to absorb carbon dioxide, while the Sahel region is forecast to receive above-normal rainfall.

The WMO report was produced by the UK Met Office and draws on forecasts from 13 institutes worldwide, based on around 200 computer simulation runs. Scientists note that temporary breaches of the 1.5C threshold do not mean the Paris Agreement's long-term goals are unattainable.

The WMO report was produced by the UK Met Office and draws on forecasts from 13 institutes worldwide, based on around 200 computer simulation runs. Scientists note that temporary breaches of the 1.5C threshold do not mean the Paris Agreement's long-term goals are unattainable.

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UN: 75% Chance Earth Tops 1.5C by 2030

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UN: 75% Chance Earth Tops 1.5C by 2030

UN: 75% Chance Earth Tops 1.5C by 2030

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UN: 75% Chance Earth Tops 1.5C by 2030

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