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Ed Gallrein Defeats Thomas Massie in Kentucky District 4 US House Race

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Thomas Massie Loses His Primary Race

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Which party will hold a plurality in the US Senate after the 2026 midterm elections?

Donald Trump

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Marc Elias

Karoline Leavitt

David Becker

Michael S. Kang

Rick Hasen

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Lisa Kashinsky

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Protect Democracy

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"The president does not have any legal authority over the administration of mail voting."

"The president does not have direct executive power over elections to ban mail voting."

"The President plays literally no role in elections, and that's by design of the founders."

“The President has no power constitutionally to dictate to states the manner in which they conduct national elections."

"[Trump] would need the cooperation of Congress [to ban mail-in ballots], which I think he'd be unlikely to get to have any kind of federal interference with how the midterm elections will be run."

"While the attorney general does not have the authority to prevent states from following their own laws for counting ballots, this command sets up a potential conflict between the federal government and the states over the counting of ballots in the days after Election Day."

"[Trump] might soon announce a long-promised executive order on the subject."

“The White House is working on an executive order to strengthen our elections in this country, and to ensure that there cannot be blatant fraud, as we’ve seen in California, with their universal mail-in voting system."

"I’m going to do an executive order ending vote by mail.'”

Will Trump Ban US States From Using Mail-In Ballots by the 2026 Midterm Elections?

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"If I had to bet today — and I tend to define bet as “regret later” — I’d put my chips on the Democrats."

"Donald Trump knows, his party knows, that they’re at risk of losing this election in 2026"

"A feasible path for the [Democratic] party to win the Senate is coming into focus."

"There is a 47.4% chance the Republican Party will control the US Senate in 2026."

"There is a 48% the Republican Party will win the US Senate in 2026."

"There is a 52% chance the Republican Party will control the Senate after the 2026 election."

"There is a 53.2% chance the Republicans will win a Senate Majority in 2026."

"Democrats face an uphill battle to capture the U.S. Senate in the November midterm elections."

"Republicans are favored to retain their majority in the Senate. "

"Democrats’ chance of winning a Senate majority in 2026 is nearly zero unless they do something dramatically different."

Will Republicans Maintain Control of the Senate After the November 2026 Midterm Elections?

Trump-backed Ed Gallrein, a retired Navy SEAL and farmer, defeated incumbent Rep. Thomas Massie in Kentucky's 4th Congressional District Republican primary on Tuesday, winning by roughly 10 percentage points.

Trump-backed Ed Gallrein, a retired Navy SEAL and farmer, defeated incumbent Rep. Thomas Massie in Kentucky's 4th Congressional District Republican primary on Tuesday, winning by roughly 10 percentage points.

The race was the most expensive House primary in U.S. history, with more than $32 million spent on advertising, according to AdImpact. Pro-Israel and Trump-aligned groups contributed heavily to the ad spending.

The race was the most expensive House primary in U.S. history, with more than $32 million spent on advertising, according to AdImpact. Pro-Israel and Trump-aligned groups contributed heavily to the ad spending.

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth traveled to Kentucky on Monday to campaign for Gallrein. The Defense Department said Hegseth appeared in his "personal capacity" and that the visit had been "thoroughly vetted and cleared by lawyers."

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth traveled to Kentucky on Monday to campaign for Gallrein. The Defense Department said Hegseth appeared in his "personal capacity" and that the visit had been "thoroughly vetted and cleared by lawyers."

Massie, who has served in Congress since 2012, voted against Trump's tax and spending bill and led efforts with Rep. Ro Khanna to compel the release of government files related to Jeffrey Epstein, over initial White House opposition.

Massie, who has served in Congress since 2012, voted against Trump's tax and spending bill and led efforts with Rep. Ro Khanna to compel the release of government files related to Jeffrey Epstein, over initial White House opposition.

In his concession speech, Massie said voters had signaled they wanted someone who would "go along to get along," while adding there is "a yearning in this country for somebody who will vote for principles over party."

In his concession speech, Massie said voters had signaled they wanted someone who would "go along to get along," while adding there is "a yearning in this country for somebody who will vote for principles over party."

Massie's defeat follows Trump's successful intervention against Sen. Bill Cassidy of Louisiana, who voted to convict Trump in 2021 and failed to advance in his state's GOP primary. Rep. Andy Barr also won the Republican nomination in Kentucky to replace retiring Sen. Mitch McConnell.

Massie's defeat follows Trump's successful intervention against Sen. Bill Cassidy of Louisiana, who voted to convict Trump in 2021 and failed to advance in his state's GOP primary. Rep. Andy Barr also won the Republican nomination in Kentucky to replace retiring Sen. Mitch McConnell.

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US Midterms: Kentucky 4th Congressional District

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