Trump Backs Paxton Over Cornyn in Texas Senate Race

Published 6 days ago

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Above: Republican U.S. Senate candidate Ken Paxton speaks on May 15, 2026. Image credit: Ron Jenkins/Getty Images

The Spin

Ken Paxton is exactly the kind of fighter Texas needs in the Senate — a proven MAGA warrior who has battled sanctuary policies, defended the unborn and stood firm when weak establishment Republicans folded. Trump's endorsement isn't just a political move; it's a recognition that loyalty and results matter more than decades of go-along-to-get-along politics. Texas deserves a senator who will push to terminate the filibuster and pass the Save America Act, not one who was late to back a historic winning movement.

Wesley Hunt on X PJ Media

The Calvin Coolidge Project on X

BackingThis Paxton over Cornyn is a serious gamble by Trump that puts a once-safe Senate seat at real risk, and Republican senators know it. Cornyn voted with Trump overoverwhelmingly 99% of the time and has spent decades delivering for Texas, yet that loyalty got tossed aside for a scandal-plagued firebrand who faces a tougher path in November. againstWith a well-fundednarrow Democrat. A narrower Senate majority, Republicans can't afford to swap a reliable vote for an uphill general election fight.

John Cornyn on X The New York Times

With the momentum built up by Talarico and his campaign that puts working Americans first, it might not matter who the Republicans put forth in this race. Many Cornyn voters have already said they'll flip to Talarico if Paxton's the nominee, and Trump's endorsements haven't fared well elsewhere. This could be a win for Democrats.

Lauren French on X

JT Ennis on X

Jasmine Crockett on X

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 50% chance that the Republican advantage vs. Democrats in the Senate after the 2026 elections will be one seat, according to the Metaculus prediction community.