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"China's nominal gross domestic product is unlikely to surpass that of the U.S. in the next few decades."

"This idea of China becoming the world's biggest economy may not happen, actually."

"China probably won't ever overtake the US economy on a sustained basis."

"The likelihood of the prediction that China's GDP will one day overtake that of the U.S. is declining."

"China is forecast to overtake the U.S. as the world’s largest economy by around 2035."

"China will overtake the US as the world's top economy in about 2035 with a high probability."

"[T]he size of China's economy in USD terms will overtake the US in 2028."

"China will overtake the United States to become the world's biggest economy in 2028."

Will China's GDP Overtake the US, And If So When?

A cross-party group of 12 Labour and Conservative MPs is set to visit China in mid-May for the first time since 2019, organized by the Great Britain-China Centre, an NGO funded by the Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office.

A cross-party group of 12 Labour and Conservative MPs is set to visit China in mid-May for the first time since 2019, organized by the Great Britain-China Centre, an NGO funded by the Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office.

The planned parliamentary visit follows a January trip by Prime Minister Keir Starmer — the first by a British prime minister in eight years — during which both sides described the outcome as a "reset" in ties. Beijing lifted sanctions on six serving British lawmakers after the visit.

The planned parliamentary visit follows a January trip by Prime Minister Keir Starmer — the first by a British prime minister in eight years — during which both sides described the outcome as a "reset" in ties. Beijing lifted sanctions on six serving British lawmakers after the visit.

The UK government approved plans for a new Chinese embassy at Royal Mint Court in London, consolidating China's seven existing diplomatic sites into one. MI5 and GCHQ said it was "not realistic to expect to be able wholly to eliminate each and every potential risk" but described the security mitigations as "proportionate."

The UK government approved plans for a new Chinese embassy at Royal Mint Court in London, consolidating China's seven existing diplomatic sites into one. MI5 and GCHQ said it was "not realistic to expect to be able wholly to eliminate each and every potential risk" but described the security mitigations as "proportionate."

The Royal Mint Court site is located near fiber optic cables carrying sensitive financial data, though the government said no national security body, including the Home Office or Foreign Office, raised objections based on cable proximity.

The Royal Mint Court site is located near fiber optic cables carrying sensitive financial data, though the government said no national security body, including the Home Office or Foreign Office, raised objections based on cable proximity.

Two men — Chung Biu Yuen, a former Hong Kong police officer, and Chi Leung Wai, an ex-UK Border Force officer — were convicted at the Old Bailey under the National Security Act 2023 for conducting surveillance on pro-democracy dissidents in Britain on behalf of Hong Kong and Chinese authorities.

Two men — Chung Biu Yuen, a former Hong Kong police officer, and Chi Leung Wai, an ex-UK Border Force officer — were convicted at the Old Bailey under the National Security Act 2023 for conducting surveillance on pro-democracy dissidents in Britain on behalf of Hong Kong and Chinese authorities.

China's foreign ministry condemned the convictions, calling the prosecutions "trumped-up charges" and "a typical political farce," while urging the UK to "stop its anti-China political manipulation." The Chinese Embassy in London similarly accused Britain of fabricating the charges.

China's foreign ministry condemned the convictions, calling the prosecutions "trumped-up charges" and "a typical political farce," while urging the UK to "stop its anti-China political manipulation." The Chinese Embassy in London similarly accused Britain of fabricating the charges.

UK-China Ties Reset Amid Spying Convictions

UK-China Ties Reset Amid Spying Convictions

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UK-China Ties Reset Amid Spying Convictions

UK-China Ties Reset Amid Spying Convictions

The Controversies

JCER

Magnus

Economics

Prasad

Sachs

Times

Subbaraman

Research

Go Deeper

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