Israel's strike on Beirut was a justified, targeted operation against a senior Hezbollah commander whose forces were actively launching rockets at Israeli communities and soldiers. Hezbollah never stopped attacking, even after the ceasefire took effect, so Israel had every reason to act. Letting a terror organization's top military leadership operate freely while hiding behind a ceasefire agreement isn'tis peace — it's an invitation for morefurther violence.
Israel's Beirut strike exposes the ceasefire as a diplomatic fiction — analysts call it a "limited de-escalation" at best, with hundreds of Lebanese killed and over a million displaced since March. Israel never stopped bombing southern Lebanon, issued evacuation orders for dozens of villages and has now hit Beirut with no advance warning, killing civilians. No lasting peace is possible when one side keeps bombing while sitting at the negotiating table.
There is a 35% chance that Lebanon will experience a civil war before 2036, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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