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U.S. economy grew 2% from January-March, recovering from federal shutdown; Iran war clouds outlook

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U Economy Grew At 2 Rate In First Quarter 6E0C18Cc

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New York Post

US economy grew 2% despite Iran war  but Americans spending slowed

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The U.S. economy expanded at a 2% annualized rate in the first quarter of 2026, rebounding from a 0.5% pace in the final three months of 2025, which was weighed down by a 43-day federal government shutdown.

The U.S. economy expanded at a 2% annualized rate in the first quarter of 2026, rebounding from a 0.5% pace in the final three months of 2025, which was weighed down by a 43-day federal government shutdown.

Business investment rose at an 8.7% annual pace in the first quarter, driven largely by spending on artificial intelligence, while residential investment fell 8% — its fifth consecutive quarterly decline and the steepest drop since late 2022.

Business investment rose at an 8.7% annual pace in the first quarter, driven largely by spending on artificial intelligence, while residential investment fell 8% — its fifth consecutive quarterly decline and the steepest drop since late 2022.

Consumer spending, which accounts for roughly 70% of U.S. economic activity, grew at a 1.6% annualized rate in the first quarter, slowing from 1.9% at the end of 2025, with goods spending edging lower and services spending also slowing.

Consumer spending, which accounts for roughly 70% of U.S. economic activity, grew at a 1.6% annualized rate in the first quarter, slowing from 1.9% at the end of 2025, with goods spending edging lower and services spending also slowing.

Iran's blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, through which a fifth of the world's oil and liquefied natural gas passes, drove Brent crude oil prices above $120 a barrel, up from around $70 a barrel before the war began in late February.

Iran's blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, through which a fifth of the world's oil and liquefied natural gas passes, drove Brent crude oil prices above $120 a barrel, up from around $70 a barrel before the war began in late February.

The Personal Consumption Expenditures price index rose 0.7% in March and 3.5% from a year earlier, while core PCE, which excludes food and energy, increased 0.3% for the month and 3.2% year-over-year, above the Fed's 2% target.

The Personal Consumption Expenditures price index rose 0.7% in March and 3.5% from a year earlier, while core PCE, which excludes food and energy, increased 0.3% for the month and 3.2% year-over-year, above the Fed's 2% target.

The Federal Reserve held its benchmark interest rate steady on Wednesday, citing "a high level of uncertainty" from the Iran conflict. Three Fed presidents dissented, preferring to signal equal readiness to raise or lower rates.

The Federal Reserve held its benchmark interest rate steady on Wednesday, citing "a high level of uncertainty" from the Iran conflict. Three Fed presidents dissented, preferring to signal equal readiness to raise or lower rates.

U.S. Economy Rebounds 2% Amid Iran Oil Shock

U.S. economyEconomy grewRebounds 2% inAmid firstIran quarterOil Shock

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U.S. Economy Rebounds 2% Amid Iran Oil Shock

U.S. economyEconomy grewRebounds 2% inAmid firstIran quarterOil Shock

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