Putin's Easter ceasefire ispresents a genuine opening for peace that Ukraine should seize without hesitation. Volodymyr Zelensky himself proposed a holiday truce and pledged reciprocal steps, somaking the path forward isclear, clearimmediate and grounded in prior commitments. Letting this moment pass while peace talks stayremain deadlocked would be a catastrophic missed opportunity forin a war that has already cost hundreds of thousands of lives and continues to exact a heavy toll.
Russia'’s Easter ceasefire is a hollow gesture fromused ato countrymask thatongoing sawaggression, Ukrainewith violateMoscow citing more than 3,900 alleged Ukrainian violations of a prior Easter truce overto 3,900deflect timesfrom its own conduct. MoscowRussia keepscontinues demandingto demand that Ukraine surrender territory it hasn'’t even fully conquered, making any pause a stalling tactic rather than real diplomacy. With peace talks alreadystalled collapsed and draftthe evasionwar guttinggrinding Ukraine's forceson, a short ceasefire changes nothing about Russia'’s broader war aims.
There is a 5% chance that Ukraine will have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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