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"China's nominal gross domestic product is unlikely to surpass that of the U.S. in the next few decades."

"This idea of China becoming the world's biggest economy may not happen, actually."

"China probably won't ever overtake the US economy on a sustained basis."

"The likelihood of the prediction that China's GDP will one day overtake that of the U.S. is declining."

"China is forecast to overtake the U.S. as the world’s largest economy by around 2035."

"China will overtake the US as the world's top economy in about 2035 with a high probability."

"[T]he size of China's economy in USD terms will overtake the US in 2028."

"China will overtake the United States to become the world's biggest economy in 2028."

Will China's GDP Overtake the US, And If So When?

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"I think, today, [China is] probably two years behind the top [AI] models [from the US]."

"Where China sits [in AI], I think, is very far behind the US."

"The United States is in a strong position to win the essential [AI] race with China."

"China will dominate AI."

"The combination with China's self-made chips + AI infrastructure stack will put China ahead of the US."

China would "undoubtedly come out on top [in the US-China AI race]."

"[I]t seems like the United States is really far ahead [when it comes to generative AI]."

"China will lead the world in AI development."

In 2025, "China will start to lead the AI race (as a consequence of leading the open-source AI race)."

Will China Surpass the US in AI?

Liu Pengyu, a spokesperson for the Chinese Embassy in the U.S., said on Thursday that Beijing was "deeply distressed" by the death of Danhao Wang, an assistant research scientist in the University of Michigan's College of Engineering, on March 19 after reportedly falling from an upper level of the George G. Brown Building in Ann Arbor.

Liu Pengyu, a spokesperson for the Chinese Embassy in the U.S., said on Thursday that Beijing was "deeply distressed" by the death of Danhao Wang, an assistant research scientist in the University of Michigan's College of Engineering, on March 19 after reportedly falling from an upper level of the George G. Brown Building in Ann Arbor.

China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs alleged Wang died by suicide "after being subjected to hostile questioning by US law enforcement personnel," calling on American authorities to conduct a "full investigation" and provide a "responsible explanation" to his family.

ChinaConsulateChicago

China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs alleged Wang died by suicide "after being subjected to hostile questioning by US law enforcement personnel," calling on American authorities to conduct a "full investigation" and provide a "responsible explanation" to his family.

The FBI's Detroit field office declined to confirm or deny any contact with Wang, while university police said they would not release additional information beyond their public statement, citing the ongoing investigation. Police are investigating the case as a possible act of self-harm.

The FBI's Detroit field office declined to confirm or deny any contact with Wang, while university police said they would not release additional information beyond their public statement, citing the ongoing investigation. Police are investigating the case as a possible act of self-harm.

After earning his PhD from the University of Science and Technology of China, Wang had been working at the University of Michigan since 2022. His research on III-nitride semiconductor materials was published in Nature and his work has been cited more than 4,000 times.

Danhao Wang

After earning his PhD from the University of Science and Technology of China, Wang had been working at the University of Michigan since 2022. His research on III-nitride semiconductor materials was published in Nature and his work has been cited more than 4,000 times.

Following Wang's death, the University of Michigan Postdoctoral Researchers' Organization advised its members not to speak to law enforcement without an attorney present. The group noted that around 60% of postdoctoral researchers at the university are international workers.

Daily Mail

Following Wang's death, the University of Michigan Postdoctoral Researchers' Organization advised its members not to speak to law enforcement without an attorney present. The group noted that around 60% of postdoctoral researchers at the university are international workers.

Six days after Wang's death, University of Michigan interim president Domenico Grasso appeared before a House committee examining Chinese espionage on U.S. campuses. He cited the university's decision to end a partnership with a Chinese university deemed a potential security risk.

Six days after Wang's death, University of Michigan interim president Domenico Grasso appeared before a House committee examining Chinese espionage on U.S. campuses. He cited the university's decision to end a partnership with a Chinese university deemed a potential security risk.

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Danhao Wang, an assistant research scientist in the University of Michigan's College of Engineering, was found dead on March 19 after falling from an upper level of the George G. Brown Building in Ann Arbor. Police are investigating the case as a possible act of self-harm.

Danhao Wang, an assistant research scientist in the University of Michigan's College of Engineering, was found dead on March 19 after falling from an upper level of the George G. Brown Building in Ann Arbor. Police are investigating the case as a possible act of self-harm.

China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs alleged Wang died by suicide after being subjected to hostile questioning by U.S. law enforcement, calling on American authorities to conduct a full investigation and provide a responsible explanation to his family.

China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs alleged Wang died by suicide after being subjected to hostile questioning by U.S. law enforcement, calling on American authorities to conduct a full investigation and provide a responsible explanation to his family.

The FBI's Detroit field office declined to confirm or deny any contact with Wang, while university police said they would not release additional information beyond their public statement, citing the ongoing investigation.

The FBI's Detroit field office declined to confirm or deny any contact with Wang, while university police said they would not release additional information beyond their public statement, citing the ongoing investigation.

Wang had worked at the University of Michigan since 2022, earning his PhD from the University of Science and Technology of China. His research on III-nitride semiconductor materials was published in Nature and his work has been cited more than 4,000 times.

Wang had worked at the University of Michigan since 2022, earning his PhD from the University of Science and Technology of China. His research on III-nitride semiconductor materials was published in Nature and his work has been cited more than 4,000 times.

Daily Mail #3306

The U.S. has weaponized national security as a pretext to harass Chinese scholars, and Danhao Wang's death is the tragic result of that discriminatory overreach. Groundless interrogations poison academic exchange and violate the basic rights of Chinese citizens abroad. A full, transparent investigation is the bare minimum owed to Wang's family.

The U.S. has weaponized national security as a pretext to harass Chinese scholars, and Danhao Wang's death is the tragic result of that discriminatory overreach. Groundless interrogations poison academic exchange and violate the basic rights of Chinese citizens abroad. A full, transparent investigation is the bare minimum owed to Wang's family.

The University of Michigan has already been exposed as a hotbed of Chinese operatives, so federal scrutiny of researchers there is entirely justified. Law enforcement doesn't question someone without sufficient grounds, and Beijing's outrage looks a lot more like damage control than genuine grief. Wang's death is tragic, but China's rush to blame the U.S. deserves serious skepticism.

The University of Michigan has already been exposed as a hotbed of Chinese operatives, so federal scrutiny of researchers there is entirely justified. Law enforcement doesn't question someone without sufficient grounds, and Beijing's outrage looks a lot more like damage control than genuine grief. Wang's death is tragic, but China's rush to blame the U.S. deserves serious skepticism.

Byron Wan

Gordon G. Chang

China-Taiwan Relations

The US-China Conflict

Chinese Scientist Dies at U-M Amid FBI Probe Claims

China

Crime & justice

United States of America

U-M has already been exposed as a hotbed of Chinese operatives, so federal scrutiny of researchers there is entirely justified. Law enforcement doesn't question someone without sufficient grounds, and Beijing's outrage looks a lot more like damage control than genuine grief. Wang's death is tragic, but China's rush to blame the U.S. deserves serious skepticism.

U-M has already been exposed as a hotbed of Chinese operatives, so federal scrutiny of researchers there is entirely justified. Law enforcement doesn't question someone without sufficient grounds, and Beijing's outrage looks a lot more like damage control than genuine grief. Wang's death is tragic, but China's rush to blame the U.S. deserves serious skepticism.

Mike Young

There's a 13% chance that there will be a U.S.-China war before 2035, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

There's a 13% chance that there will be a U.S.-China war before 2035, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

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