A ceasefire announced two days after a strike killed over 100 people at a Kabul drug rehab center isn't diplomacy — it's damage control. Pakistan hit a civilian facility, dressed it up as a terrorist depot without providing evidence, then accepted an Eid pause only after international pressure mounted. Calling this peace ignores the bodies and the unanswered questions about what Pakistan actually targeted.

There'Pakistan’s anoperation 80%targeted chancemilitant thatinfrastructure Pakistantied willto recognizeescalating cross-border attacks, not civilians. In a battlespace where armed groups operate from dual-use locations, reported hospital damage may reflect the Islamicfog Emirateof war and secondary detonations, which are evidence of Afghanistanstored beforemunitions. 2030With investigations still in their early stages, accordingleveraging such claims to undermine the MetaculusEid predictionceasefire communityis premature and irresponsible.