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Snapshot 1:Tue, Mar 17, 2026 12:35:03 PM GMT last edited by Tareq

Israel Says Top Iranian Official Ali Larijani Killed in Overnight Strike

Above: Ali Larijani, Secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council, in Beirut, Lebanon, on Sept. 27, 2025. Image credit: Courtney Bonneau/Middle East Images/AFP/Getty Images

The Spin

The killing of Ali Larijani, who has practically been running Iran since Khamenei's death, is a clear message to the Iranian leadership. Either end your nuclear ambitions and make serious concessions to end the war or you will also become a target.

Israel is essentially playing a game of whack-a-mole in Iran. By constantly assassinating its leaders, it hopes that it will bring down the government or bring in someone more moderate. But each time, someone else pops up and they're just as likely to be opposed to the actions of the Israeli government.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 15% chance that the U.S. and Iran will agree to a ceasefire before May 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0