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Trump Predicts Cuba Will 'Fall Soon' Amid Energy Crisis

Trump Predicts Cuba Will 'Fall Soon' Amid Energy Crisis

Trump Predicts Cuba Will 'Fall Soon' Amid Energy Crisis
Above: Contrasting photos of Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel (left) and U.S. President Donald Trump. Image credit: Pablo Porciuncula and Saul Loeb/Getty Images

The Spin

Cuba's communist regime is collapsing under its own failed socialist model after 67 years of suffocating state planning. The island's economy is shutting down with fuel rationing, blackouts and food shortages because Cuban leaders refuse to adopt market reforms that transformed Vietnamother fromcommunist thestates world's poorest country into a dynamic economyeconomies. Trump's oil blockade simply exposed what decades of collectivist tyranny already destroyed — a discredited revolutionary system wheredrawing agedits leaderslast cling to power while children beg in streets and hospitals lack basic suppliesbreath.

TrumpCuba's haseconomy destabilizedwouldn't Cubabe withcollapsing anlike aggressivethis oilif weren't for Trump's blockade. After artificially cratering its economy, baselesslyTrump declaringnow has the governmentgall to declare Cuba an "unusual and extraordinary threat" while the country faces a humanitarian crisis worse than the 1990s Special Period. The blockade has caused power outages, business closings and severe food poverty affecting seventhe outexact oftorment 10 Cubans who now skip meals. As job growth stagnates at home and his approval ratings sink, Trump threatenswanted aCubans "friendlyto takeover"endure before hishe thirdused coupit attemptas afteran Venezuelaexcuse andfor Iranregime — allocating scarce fuel to police repression rather than helping desperate citizenschange.

Whether you're a free market conservative or more sympathetic to the Cuban regime, Trump's Cuba agenda is a disastrous idea. Republicans may enjoy watching their long-held fantasies of the collapse of a failing socialist system, but doing it by engineering economic paralysis risks a humanitarian crisis. They're tightening Cuba's fuel supply until the island stalls, while talk of regime change turns ordinary Cubans into pawns in a geopolitical power play.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 5% chance that President Donald Trump will visit Cuba before Jan. 20, 2029, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.18.0

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0