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Which Party Will Win The 2026 Colombian Chamber Of Representatives Election

Donald Trump

Gustavo Petro

John Feeley

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Juan Carlos Viloria Doria

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“Colombia can sleep soundly.”

"I cannot see the president actually – despite what he said – extending strikes into Colombia or to Cuba."

"It is unlikely the White House would take unilateral action given their historic cooperation with Colombian security forces."

"I don't believe that there will actually be a military strike or military intervention in Colombia. But the US is, of course, already exerting influence."

"But with elections coming up in Colombia in a few months' time, it's hardly worth it for the administration to attempt to remove Petro from power."

"I don't think the fact that Colombia is a long-standing ally of the United States is necessarily going to insulate it from potential action from the Trump administration, because I don't think that that's something that he considers to be a deal breaker."

“[Peto] sees Trump and his threats no longer as empty, but as real possibilities.”

“All nations of the region must remain alert, as the threat hangs over all.”

"The US is baring its teeth at Colombia."

"[Gustavo Petro's] not going to be doing it very long."

Will the U.S. Intervene in Colombia?

Colombia's largest remaining guerrilla National Liberation Army (Ejército de Liberación Nacional), known by the acronym ELN, announced on Monday a unilateral ceasefire ahead of legislative elections next month to allow for people to freely exercise the right to vote.

Colombia's largest remaining guerrilla National Liberation Army (Ejército de Liberación Nacional), known by the acronym ELN, announced on Monday a unilateral ceasefire ahead of legislative elections next month to allow for people to freely exercise the right to vote.

This comes as authorities in Colombia reported that the ELN Front in Tarazá, Antioquia, was one of the groups behind a drone attack that left two uniformed personnel seriously injured in the local village of Doradas Altas. The soldiers were extracted to Medellín and are reportedly out of danger.

Séptima División del Ejército Nacional de Colombia

This comes as authorities in Colombia reported that the ELN Front in Tarazá, Antioquia, was one of the groups behind a drone attack that left two uniformed personnel seriously injured in the local village of Doradas Altas. The soldiers were extracted to Medellín and are reportedly out of danger.

Colombians are set to head to the polls on March 8 to elect a new Senate and House of Representatives, with local electoral and human rights watchdogs reporting that dozens of municipalities require immediate action to prevent political violence from affecting elections.

Colombians are set to head to the polls on March 8 to elect a new Senate and House of Representatives, with local electoral and human rights watchdogs reporting that dozens of municipalities require immediate action to prevent political violence from affecting elections.

This month, an indigenous senator was briefly kidnapped, two bodyguards working for another senator were killed by ELN rebels and presidential candidate Abelardo de la Espriella enhanced security measures after alleged ELN threats. Last year, <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.verity.news/story/2025/colombian-senator-miguel-uribe-dies-after-june-shooting">a presidential hopeful died two months after being shot at a rally</a>.

This month, an indigenous senator was briefly kidnapped, two bodyguards working for another senator were killed by ELN rebels and presidential candidate Abelardo de la Espriella enhanced security measures after alleged ELN threats. Last year, a presidential hopeful died two months after being shot at a rally.

The ELN said earlier this month that <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.verity.news/story/2026/colombia-kills-eln-fighters-near-venezuela-border">an airstrike in the Catatumbo region that killed seven of its members</a>, including one minor, hours before President Gustavo Petro met with Donald Trump in Washington, D.C., had "fatally injured" efforts to resume peace talks.

The ELN said earlier this month that an airstrike in the Catatumbo region that killed seven of its members, including one minor, hours before President Gustavo Petro met with Donald Trump in Washington, D.C., had "fatally injured" efforts to resume peace talks.

The ELN emerged in the 1960s as a guerrilla group combining Marxist-Leninist ideology with Catholic liberation theology. According to intelligence reports, it operates in 184 municipalities across 19 departments in Colombia and eight states in Venezuela. Official figures put membership at 6,300.

The ELN emerged in the 1960s as a guerrilla group combining Marxist-Leninist ideology with Catholic liberation theology. According to intelligence reports, it operates in 184 municipalities across 19 departments in Colombia and eight states in Venezuela. Official figures put membership at 6,300.

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Ejército de Liberación Nacional #

La Silla Vacía #

El Colombiano #

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France24.com #

InSight Crime #

Colombia One #

El Tiempo #

Colombia Reports #

BluRadio Colombia #

The Bogotá Post #

Metaculus #

This month, an indigenous senator was briefly kidnapped, two bodyguards working for another senator were killed by ELN rebels and presidential candidate Abelardo de la Espriella enhanced security measures after alleged ELN threats. Last year, <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.verity.news/story/2025/colombian-senator-miguel-uribe-dies-after-june-shooting">a presidential hopeful died two months after being shot in a rally</a>.

This month, an indigenous senator was briefly kidnapped, two bodyguards working for another senator were killed by ELN rebels and presidential candidate Abelardo de la Espriella enhanced security measures after alleged ELN threats. Last year, a presidential hopeful died two months after being shot in a rally.

This unilateral ceasefire ahead of crucial elections shows genuine commitment to democratic freedom, continuing a tradition maintained across the last four governments. While the ELN has long been accused of election interference, the group actually doesn't control electoral institutions or fund campaigns like narco-backed political clans do. All that the ELN wants is for Colombia to address its structural crisis through democracy and social justice.

This unilateral ceasefire ahead of crucial elections shows genuine commitment to democratic freedom, continuing a tradition maintained across the last four governments. While the ELN has long been accused of election interference, the group actually doesn't control electoral institutions or fund campaigns like narco-backed political clans do. All that the ELN wants is for Colombia to address its structural crisis through democracy and social justice.

Increased military pressure from Colombian forces and potential joint operations with the U.S. have forced the ELN to change its posture in a desperate move for a group that has shown a blatant lack of commitment to genuine peace talks. Rebels not only failed to cease its drug-trafficking activities and child soldier recruitment, but they also destroyed negotiations through bloodshed and violence.

Increased military pressure from Colombian forces and potential joint operations with the U.S. have forced the ELN to change its posture in a desperate move for a group that has shown a blatant lack of commitment to genuine peace talks. Rebels not only failed to cease its drug-trafficking activities and child soldier recruitment, but they also destroyed negotiations through bloodshed and violence.

There's a 47.4% chance that the Historic Pact will win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

There's a 47.4% chance that the Historic Pact will win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Stringer/AFP/Getty Images

Colombia: ELN Declares Ceasefire Ahead of Legislative Elections

Armed conflict

Colombia

Politics

Increased military pressure from Colombian forces and potential joint operations with the U.S. have forced the ELN to change its posture in a desperate move for a group that has shown a blatant lack of commitment to genuine peace talks. Rebels not only failed to cease their drug-trafficking activities and child soldier recruitment, but they also destroyed negotiations through bloodshed and violence.

Increased military pressure from Colombian forces and potential joint operations with the U.S. have forced the ELN to change its posture in a desperate move for a group that has shown a blatant lack of commitment to genuine peace talks. Rebels not only failed to cease their drug-trafficking activities and child soldier recruitment, but they also destroyed negotiations through bloodshed and violence.

Stringer/AFP/Getty Images

Colombia: ELN Declares Ceasefire Ahead of Legislative Elections

Colombia: ELN Declares Ceasefire Ahead of Legislative Elections

Colombia: ELN Declares Ceasefire Ahead of Legislative Elections

The Spin

Metaculus Prediction

The Controversies

Petro

Sestak

Peters

Feeley

Kelly

Cuba

Borda

Trump

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Colombia: ELN Declares Ceasefire Ahead of Legislative Elections

Colombia: ELN Declares Ceasefire Ahead of Legislative Elections

The Spin

Metaculus Prediction

The Controversies

Petro

Sestak

Peters

Feeley

Kelly

Cuba

Borda

Trump

Articles on this story

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