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Snapshot 6:Fri, Feb 20, 2026 4:30:23 PM GMT last edited by Nick

US Supreme Court Strikes Down Trump's Sweeping Tariffs

US Supreme Court Strikes Down Trump's Sweeping Tariffs

US Supreme Court Strikes Down Trump's Sweeping Tariffs
Above: President Donald Trump in the Rose Garden at the White House on April 2, 2025. Image credit: Brendan Smialowski/AFP/Getty Images

The Spin

The ruling creates massive uncertainty for businesses and threatens trade deals worth trillions of dollars that have already been negotiated with multiple nations. The refund process for billions in collected tariffs will be a complete mess, and the decision does nothing to address the underlying trade imbalances and fentanyl crisis that necessitated action in the first place.

Trump abused emergency powers meant for genuine national crises to impose illegal tariffs that never had constitutional authority. This wasn't a legitimate trade policy but rather a pointlessharmful and unlawful overreach that's now been exposed and struck down by the courts.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 95% chance that customs duties revenue to the federal government will increase from $80 billion in fiscal year 2023 to $160 billion in fiscal year 2026 (in 2023 dollars), according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.18.0

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0