Musk's pivot from Mars colonizationto remainsMoon ais dangerousmerely fantasyswapping peddlingone falsebillionaire hopedelusion whilefor realanother. problemsBoth ondestinations Earthremain gohostile unsolvedwastelands. ThePrivate Redspace Planetfantasies offersignore nothinghistory's butlesson: lowexploration gravity,requires deadlygovernments' radiation,patient nocapital breathable air and poisonouslong-term soilvision, —not makingventure evencapitalists Antarcticademanding morequarterly hospitablereturns. BillionairesSpaceX pushingbelongs spaceferrying settlementcargo, don'tnot understandpioneering they'refrontiers dismantlingit thefundamentally verycannot democraticafford systemsto that enabled their successlead.
Shifting focus to lunar settlement represents smart strategy over fantasy — launch windows every 10 days versus Mars' 26-month wait means faster iteration and real progress toward expanding civilization. A self-sustaining Moon city achievable in under 10 years beats waiting decades for Mars while still advancing the core mission of extending human consciousness beyond Earth.
There is a 0.1% chance Elon Musk will personally set foot on the moon by 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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