XINHUA

Xi says ready to work with Trump to steer giant ship of China-U.S. ties steadily forward

The Washington Post

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Metaculus

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Taipei Times

Taiwan-US ties grow under Trump

Taiwan China Arms Sale Trump

Al Jazeera

US arms sales to Taiwan threaten peace in the Taiwan Strait

BenjaminNorton

US stance on Taiwan unchanged, US official says after Trump, Xi talk

The Asia Business Daily

Trump and Xi Jinping Hold First Call of the New Year, Discuss Oil Purchases, Taiwan, and More

Focus Taiwan

Xi urges Trump to be prudent about arms sales to Taiwan in latest phone call

Global Times

President Xi Jinping Speaks with US President Donald J. Trump on the Phone

Japan Wire by Kyodo News

Trump says Taiwan, many other

China.org.cn

Xi says ready to work with Trump to steer giant ship of China-US ties steadily forward

The Mainichi

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ABC News

Taiwan-US ties are rock solid, the islands president says after Trump-Xi call

Breitbart

Chinas Xi cautions Trump on Taiwan in phone call

Guardian

Be prudent about supplying arms to Taiwan, Xi tells Trump in call

It is ironclad fact that there is only one China, and Taiwan is part of it: Chinese foreign ministry

Lloyd Austin

Mark Milley

Mike Minihan

Jacob Thornburg

Michael Brenner

Finian Cunningham

Scott Ritter

Ray Dalio

Kevin Rudd

Zhao Tong

Stanislaw Koziej

Robert S. Ross

Charles C. Krulak

Michael C. Horowitz

Joseph S. Nye

Qin Gang

Frank Kendall III

Thomas L. Friedman

Marco J. Lyons

"I argue that war is unlikely to occur due to the deep economic ties underlying the great power politics between the two countries."

"War with either [Russia or China] is neither inevitable nor imminent."

"As things currently stand, the US is not prepared to fight and win a war with China over Taiwan."

"A war between the US and China today is no more inevitable than was war between the rising US and the declining United Kingdom a century ago."

"[T]he tension between the United States and China will grow, and competition will intensify; it is inevitable. War, however, is not."

"War is a risk, but it is not inevitable."

"The risk of a military conflict is very serious."

"The smallest misstep by either side [Taipei and Beijing] could ignite a U.S.-China war."

"China is preparing for a war and specifically for a war with the United States."

"The most proximate potential timeframe for war is in the next two years."

"My gut tells me we [the US] will fight [with China] in 2025."

Will There Be a US-China War?

Chinese President Xi Jinping and U.S. President Donald Trump held a phone conversation on February 4, 2026, discussing topics including trade, Taiwan, military matters and Trump's planned visit to China in April. Trump described the call as "excellent" and "thorough" on Truth Social.

Chinese President Xi Jinping and U.S. President Donald Trump held a phone conversation on February 4, 2026, discussing topics including trade, Taiwan, military matters and Trump's planned visit to China in April. Trump described the call as "excellent" and "thorough" on Truth Social.

During the call, Xi emphasized that the Taiwan question is the most important issue in China-U.S. relations and urged the United States to handle arms sales to Taiwan with prudence. Trump reportedly said he understands how China feels about the Taiwan question.

During the call, Xi emphasized that the Taiwan question is the most important issue in China-U.S. relations and urged the United States to handle arms sales to Taiwan with prudence. Trump reportedly said he understands how China feels about the Taiwan question.

Trump stated that China is considering increasing its purchases of U.S. soybeans to 20 million metric tons in the current season, up from 12 million tons in the previous season. The call also covered China's potential purchases of U.S. oil and gas.

Trump stated that China is considering increasing its purchases of U.S. soybeans to 20 million metric tons in the current season, up from 12 million tons in the previous season. The call also covered China's potential purchases of U.S. oil and gas.

Taiwan President Lai Ching-te said Thursday that Taiwan-U.S. relations are "rock solid" and all cooperation projects will continue uninterrupted. A White House official confirmed there is no change to U.S. policy with respect to Taiwan.

Taiwan President Lai Ching-te said Thursday that Taiwan-U.S. relations are "rock solid" and all cooperation projects will continue uninterrupted. A White House official confirmed there is no change to U.S. policy with respect to Taiwan.

In December, the U.S. State Department announced its largest-ever arms sales package to Taiwan, valued at more than $11.1 billion and including missiles, artillery systems and drones. China responded by conducting two days of military drills around the island in late December.

In December, the U.S. State Department announced its largest-ever arms sales package to Taiwan, valued at more than $11.1 billion and including missiles, artillery systems and drones. China responded by conducting two days of military drills around the island in late December.

Xi told Trump that both nations have important items on their agenda this year, with China kicking off its 15th Five-Year Plan and the United States celebrating the 250th anniversary of its independence. China will host the APEC Economic Leaders' Meeting while the U.S. will host the G20 Summit.

Xi told Trump that both nations have important items on their agenda this year, with China kicking off its 15th Five-Year Plan and the United States celebrating the 250th anniversary of its independence. China will host the APEC Economic Leaders' Meeting while the U.S. will host the G20 Summit.

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Massive US arms sales to Taiwan grossly violate the one-China principle and the three joint communiques, directly interfering in China's internal affairs. These weapons embolden separatist forces and push the Taiwan Strait toward armed conflict. No amount of advanced weaponry will prevent China's inevitable reunification.

Massive US arms sales to Taiwan grossly violate the one-China principle and the three joint communiques, directly interfering in China's internal affairs. These weapons embolden separatist forces and push the Taiwan Strait toward armed conflict. No amount of advanced weaponry will prevent China's inevitable reunification.

Ben Norton

The $11.1 billion arms package provides Taiwan essential defensive capabilities to deter Chinese aggression, especially after Beijing's threatening military exercises. Taiwan's shift toward asymmetrical weapons shows smart adaptation to counter a larger adversary. Strengthening Taiwan's defense reinforces stability and US strategic interests in the Indo-Pacific.

The $11.1 billion arms package provides Taiwan essential defensive capabilities to deter Chinese aggression, especially after Beijing's threatening military exercises. Taiwan's shift toward asymmetrical weapons shows smart adaptation to counter a larger adversary. Strengthening Taiwan's defense reinforces stability and US strategic interests in the Indo-Pacific.

The US-China Conflict

Xi and Trump Discuss Taiwan, Trade in Phone Call

Arms exports

China

Taiwan

United States of America

Washington's massive weapons sales to Taiwan grossly violate the one-China principle and deliberately fuel separatism while hypocritically claiming peaceful intentions. These arms deals embolden dangerous independence forces and push the region toward armed conflict. Reunification remains inevitable regardless of how many weapons flood the island.

Washington's massive weapons sales to Taiwan grossly violate the one-China principle and deliberately fuel separatism while hypocritically claiming peaceful intentions. These arms deals embolden dangerous independence forces and push the region toward armed conflict. Reunification remains inevitable regardless of how many weapons flood the island.

Arms sales to Taiwan represent essential deterrence against Beijing's military aggression and rehearsals for invasion around the island. The weapons package helps Taiwan develop critical asymmetric capabilities to defend itself against a larger adversary. Strengthening Taiwan's defense capacity through trade and military cooperation serves mutual strategic interests.

Arms sales to Taiwan represent essential deterrence against Beijing's military aggression and rehearsals for invasion around the island. The weapons package helps Taiwan develop critical asymmetric capabilities to defend itself against a larger adversary. Strengthening Taiwan's defense capacity through trade and military cooperation serves mutual strategic interests.

Xi and Trump Discuss Taiwan, Trade in Phone Call

Xi and Trump Discuss Taiwan, Trade in Phone Call

The Spin

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Thornburg

Milley

Ritter

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III

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Xi and Trump Discuss Taiwan, Trade in Phone Call

Xi and Trump Discuss Taiwan, Trade in Phone Call

The Spin

The Controversies

Thornburg

Milley

Ritter

Krulak

Rudd

Nye

Tong

Friedman

III

Horowitz

Minihan

Go Deeper

Articles on this story

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