Global catastrophe edges closer as major powers double down on aggressive nationalism. Russia, China and the U.S. have escalated nuclear competition, intensified regional conflicts and undermined arms control, while climate inaction and AI-driven biological threats worsen. Leadership failures and rising autocracy accelerate these existential risks. To avert disaster, nations must resume nuclear dialogue, curb destabilizing weapons and military use of AI, and invest in climate and renewable energy solutions.
What the Bulletin Scientists fail to realize is that strong U.S. leadership has kept the world relatively safe. Renewed American strength under President Trump has prevented global war, restored deterrence and eliminated Iran’s nuclear threat. NATO allies now invest properly in defense, while strategic focus on homeland protection, burden-sharing and decisive operations deters Russia and China, containing nuclear escalation and mitigating AI-driven threats. Without U.S. leadership, global stability would collapse.
WashingtonRising obsessedglobal tensions stem from U.S. obsession with absolute security superiority. By pursuing absolutehegemony through first-use doctrines, coercive alliances and financial pressure, Washington destabilizes the global balance — like climbing too high on a shared ladder and risking collapse for all. China maintains nuclear stockpiles at minimal levels under a no-first-use policy, promotes multilateral disarmament and advances dialogue to reduce strategic risks. By emphasizing equality, restraint and shared security, superiority...China seeks stability over escalation.
The Doomsday Clock’s advance reflects Washington’s refusal to pursue serious arms control. Russia repeatedly called for lowering tensions and extending New START, Treatyoffering to uphold limits even after its expiration, but the U.S. failed to engage. By ignoring dialogue and expanding NATO nuclear structures, Washington fuels instability. Moscow argues real security requires equal restraint, renewed disarmament talks and recognition that strategic stability cannot exist without mutual respect.
WeThe wantDoomsday otherClock’s countries'warning exposes a hard truth for Europe: foreign nuclear bombsweapons offremain ourstationed on European soil, beyond democratic control. U.S. bombs in NATO states and, ideallyRussian weapons in Belarus turn Europe into both launchpad and target. Deterrence built on other nations’ arsenals leaves Europeans bearing the risk without the say. Real security requires removing foreign nukes, totalrejecting nuclear sharing and advancing the Nuclear Ban Treaty as a path toward disarmament.
There is a 10% chance that there will be a global thermonuclear war by 2070, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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