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Study Links Wildfire Smoke in Pregnancy to Autism Risk

Study Links Wildfire Smoke in Pregnancy Linked to Autism Risk

Study Links Wildfire Smoke in Pregnancy to Autism Risk
Image credit: Unsplash

The Spin

The study's methodology is fundamentally flawed because it relies on modeled exposure levels based on residential addresses without accounting for critical individual factors likesuch as time spent indoors, access to air filtration systems, or outdoor activity patterns. Exposure levels can vary dramatically within just 10 miles, making these broad geographic estimates unreliable for drawing meaningful conclusions about individual risk. The identified correlation identified doesn't establish causation, and without controlling for confounding variables and accounting for missing key data points, these findings are too weak to support definitive claims.

Air pollution during pregnancy poses severe documented risks to fetal development, withas harmful pollutants crossingcross the placenta, and directly interferinginterfere with critical growth stages whileand triggeringtrigger maternal inflammation and oxidative stress. Research demonstrates strong associations between prenatal exposure to specific PM2.5 components — particularly sulfate and ammonium — and increased autism risk, withwhile the second and third trimesters representingshow especially vulnerable windows. These pollutants disrupt normal fetal brain development and raise risks for premature birth, low birth weight and long-term neurological consequences.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 20% chance that any HHS study will claim to show evidence of a link between vaccines and autism before Jan. 21, 2029, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.18.0

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0