Metaculus

End of Ukraine conflict

Politico

UK splits with France and Italy over Putin talks

Russia expels suspected British spy

Guardian

British diplomat expelled from Russia after being accused of being a spy

UK and France reluctant to send troops to Ukraine without US backing – FT

Russia details civilian deaths caused by Ukraine during holiday season

Zelensky ‘nullifying’ Trump’s peace efforts – Moscow

Independent

How Ukrainians are battling repeated blackouts after Russian missile attacks

‘They want to break us’: Russian energy grid strikes give freezing Kyiv some of its darkest days

EuroNews

Brussels says door open to direct talks with Putin 'at some point' but 'we're not there yet'

TASS

Russia considers dialogue with US on Ukraine necessary  Kremlin

ABC News

Russia expels British diplomat from Moscow embassy over spying claims

Ukrainska Pravda

UK opposes talks with Putin: No sign he wants peace

The Moscow Times

Putin Says Russia Is Ready to Restore Relations With Europe

BBC News

No power or water and -19C: Kyiv seeks relief from Russian strikes and cold

Russia stands ready to restore relations with all European countries  Putin

Merz calls Russia 'European country,' hopes to achieve balance in relations

Big News Network

Germany Merz Changes Stance On Russia

TVP World

Italy joins France in call for Europe to hold talks with Moscow

Meloni joins Macron in urging European talks with Russia

Russia agrees with Trump on Zelensky hindering peace deal in Ukraine

ZelenskyyUa

Polskie Radio

Trump, Kremlin agree: Zelensky holding up Ukraine peace deal

Reuters

Trump Says Zelenskiy Not Putin Is Holding Up Ukraine Peace Deal 2026 01 15

Censor.net

Energy Emergency Allows Curfew Easing For Access To Heating Points In Ukraine

Ukrainian National News

No passes: Shmyhal clarified the easing of curfew rules

UK to list 65-year-olds as reservists amid Russia threat claims – Telegraph

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Antony Blinken

Jens Stoltenberg

Sergei Ryabkov

Kurt Volker

Alexander Stubb

Michael McCaul

NATO

Mircea Geoan

Michael R. Carpenter

Mark Rutte

Andriy Yermak

Julianne Smith

Robert Fico

Ukraine joining NATO "will never happen."

NATO hasn't "reached the point where it is prepared to offer membership or an invitation to Ukraine."

“As long as I am head of the Slovak government, I will direct the MPs that are under my control... never to agree to Ukraine's joining NATO.”

"We cannot admit Ukraine into NATO immediately."

Ukraine is "fully prepared and able to be a member of NATO."

We will take "concrete steps to bring Ukraine closer to NATO."

"Ukraine's path and bridge towards NATO membership is now irreversible."

"Ukraine is closer to NATO than ever before, and will continue on this path until [it] become[s] a member of our alliance."

"Ukraine will join NATO. It is not a question of if, but of when."

Will Ukraine Join NATO?

Donald Trump

Vladimir Putin

Dmitry Peskov

Marco Rubio

Lindsey Graham

JD Vance

Petro Poroshenko

Vitali Klitschko

Kyiv International Institute of Sociology

Ihor Reiterovych

Ben Rhodes

"Ukrainians will not give their land to the occupier."

"It is impossible. Russia has never discussed and will not discuss the topic of exchanging its territory."

"Ukraine is not going to evict every Russian, and Russia is not going to Kyiv, so there will be some land swaps at the end."

"Ukraine is going to have to cede some territory to the Russians."

"There'll be some swapping of territories to the betterment of both [Ukraine and Russia]."

Will Zelenskyy Swap Territory/Cede Land to End the War?

Facing sub-freezing temperatures with an energy infrastructure that's been repeatedly targeted by Russian attacks in recent days and weeks, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy on Thursday announced a raft of emergency measures intended to ease conditions and restore power and heat.

Dtek

Facing sub-freezing temperatures with an energy infrastructure that's been repeatedly targeted by Russian attacks in recent days and weeks, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy on Thursday announced a raft of emergency measures intended to ease conditions and restore power and heat.

The measures included a relaxation of curfew rules, allowing Ukrainians to access government-run "Invincibility Points" and other shelters that provide heating, electricity, the internet and other amenities. Zelenskyy also ordered the relaxation of rules on energy imports as well as on connecting new equipment to the energy grid.

The measures included a relaxation of curfew rules, allowing Ukrainians to access government-run "Invincibility Points" and other shelters that provide heating, electricity, the internet and other amenities. Zelenskyy also ordered the relaxation of rules on energy imports as well as on connecting new equipment to the energy grid.

Meanwhile, in an interview with Reuters that was published later on Wednesday, U.S. President Donald Trump pointed to Zelenskyy as being responsible for a hold-up in reaching a peace deal. Speaking of Russian President Vladimir Putin, Trump said: "I think he's ready to make a deal. I think Ukraine is less ready to make a deal."

Meanwhile, in an interview with Reuters that was published later on Wednesday, U.S. President Donald Trump pointed to Zelenskyy as being responsible for a hold-up in reaching a peace deal. Speaking of Russian President Vladimir Putin, Trump said: "I think he's ready to make a deal. I think Ukraine is less ready to make a deal."

While Zelenskyy pushed back against Trump's message, it was backed by Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov in a call with reporters later in the day. "President Putin and the Russian side remain open [to negotiations]." he said. "Russia's position is well known. It is known to American negotiators, President Trump, and the leadership of the Kyiv regime."

While Zelenskyy pushed back against Trump's message, it was backed by Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov in a call with reporters later in the day. "President Putin and the Russian side remain open [to negotiations]." he said. "Russia's position is well known. It is known to American negotiators, President Trump, and the leadership of the Kyiv regime."

Elsewhere, amid recent calls from the leaders of France and Italy to re-engage with Russia, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz on Thursday said Russia was a European country and backed restoring relations should a Ukraine peace deal be agreed.

Elsewhere, amid recent calls from the leaders of France and Italy to re-engage with Russia, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz on Thursday said Russia was a European country and backed restoring relations should a Ukraine peace deal be agreed.

However, speaking to Politico on Thursday, U.K. foreign minister Yvette Cooper rejected the idea, stating that she had not seen evidence that Putin actually wanted peace. Russia's Foreign Ministry on Thursday expelled a British diplomat it accused of spying, which the U.K. Foreign Office called it "malicious and baseless."

However, speaking to Politico on Thursday, U.K. foreign minister Yvette Cooper rejected the idea, stating that she had not seen evidence that Putin actually wanted peace. Russia's Foreign Ministry on Thursday expelled a British diplomat it accused of spying, which the U.K. Foreign Office called it "malicious and baseless."

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Meanwhile, in an interview with Reuters that was published later on Wednesday, U.S. President Donald Trump pointed to Zelenskyy — not his Russian counterpart — as being responsible for a hold-up in reaching a peace deal. Speaking of Russian President Vladimir Putin, Trump said: "I think he's ready to make a deal. I think Ukraine is less ready to make a deal."

Meanwhile, in an interview with Reuters that was published later on Wednesday, U.S. President Donald Trump pointed to Zelenskyy — not his Russian counterpart — as being responsible for a hold-up in reaching a peace deal. Speaking of Russian President Vladimir Putin, Trump said: "I think he's ready to make a deal. I think Ukraine is less ready to make a deal."

Elsewhere, amid recent calls from the leaders of France and Italy to re-engage with Russia, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz on Thursday said Russia was a European country and backed restoring relations should a Ukraine peace deal be agreed. Putin, at a swearing in ceremony of foreign diplomats on Thursday, said Russia favored diplomacy and was ready.

Elsewhere, amid recent calls from the leaders of France and Italy to re-engage with Russia, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz on Thursday said Russia was a European country and backed restoring relations should a Ukraine peace deal be agreed. Putin, at a swearing in ceremony of foreign diplomats on Thursday, said Russia favored diplomacy and was ready.

However, speaking to Politico on Thursday, Yvette Cooper, the U.K. foreign minister, split from European allies and rejected the idea, stating that she had not seen evidence that Putin actually wanted peace. While there's no indication the events are connected, Russia's Foreign Ministry on Thursday expelled a British diplomat it accused of spying. The U.K. Foreign Office called it "malicious and baseless."

However, speaking to Politico on Thursday, Yvette Cooper, the U.K. foreign minister, split from European allies and rejected the idea, stating that she had not seen evidence that Putin actually wanted peace. While there's no indication the events are connected, Russia's Foreign Ministry on Thursday expelled a British diplomat it accused of spying. The U.K. Foreign Office called it "malicious and baseless."

Ukraine has never been a stumbling block in the way of peace. It is the barrage of Russian drones and missiles that repeatedly targets Ukraine's civilian infrastructure, namely its energy facilities. Doing so in the middle of these winter conditions, it's clear that Putin has no goal other than to terrorize Ukrainian civilians. Pressure needs to be applied so he's finally ready to take negotiations seriously.

Ukraine has never been a stumbling block in the way of peace. It is the barrage of Russian drones and missiles that repeatedly targets Ukraine's civilian infrastructure, namely its energy facilities. Doing so in the middle of these winter conditions, it's clear that Putin has no goal other than to terrorize Ukrainian civilians. Pressure needs to be applied so he's finally ready to take negotiations seriously.

Russia believes it is essential to continue the dialogue with the U.S. on Ukraine, particularly as the U.S. has had several rounds of discussions with Ukrainian and European officials in recent weeks. It is important that Russia is able to express its views on these matters also so it expects that the special envoys of President Trump will soon be making their way.

Russia believes it is essential to continue the dialogue with the U.S. on Ukraine, particularly as the U.S. has had several rounds of discussions with Ukrainian and European officials in recent weeks. It is important that Russia is able to express its views on these matters also so it expects that the special envoys of President Trump will soon be making their way.

Europe is in favor of restoring relations with Russia — but it's not quite there yet. Namely, because one man by the name of Putin continues to stand in the way of making any meaningful progress towards a Ukraine peace deal. Europe can theorize about the future but there's no indication that Putin is serious about peace at this stage.

Europe is in favor of restoring relations with Russia — but it's not quite there yet. Namely, because one man by the name of Putin continues to stand in the way of making any meaningful progress towards a Ukraine peace deal. Europe can theorize about the future but there's no indication that Putin is serious about peace at this stage.

There's a 50% chance there will be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine by March 2027, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

There's a 50% chance there will be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine by March 2027, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

The Russia-Ukraine War

Zelenskyy Announces Emergency Energy Measures as Trump Blames Him for Lack of Peace Deal

Tetiana Dzhafarova/AFP/Getty Images

Zelenskyy Announces Emergency Energy Measures as Trump Blames Him for Lack of Peace Deal

Zelenskyy Announces Emergency Energy Measures as Trump Blames Him for Lack of Peace Deal

Zelenskyy Announces Emergency Energy Measures as Trump Blames Him for Lack of Peace Deal

The Controversies

Ryabkov

Smith

Fico

McCaul

Yermak

Blinken

Stubb

Rutte

Stoltenberg

Zelenskyy

Peskov

Graham

Vance

Trump

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Zelenskyy Announces Emergency Energy Measures as Trump Blames Him for Lack of Peace Deal

Zelenskyy Announces Emergency Energy Measures as Trump Blames Him for Lack of Peace Deal

The Controversies

Ryabkov

Smith

Fico

McCaul

Yermak

Blinken

Stubb

Rutte

Stoltenberg

Zelenskyy

Peskov

Graham

Vance

Trump

Go Deeper

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