Government of Canada

Backgrounder - Preliminary Agreement-In-Principle to Address Economic and Trade Issues between Canada and the People's Republic of China

Prime Minister of Canada

Joint statement of the Canada-China Leaders' Meeting

Canada-China Economic and Trade Cooperation Roadmap

Prime Minister Carney forges new strategic partnership with the Peoples Republic of China focused on energy, agri-food, and trade

Prime Minister Carney meets with President of the Peoples Republic of China Xi Jinping

MOFCOM

Xi Jinping meets with Canadian Prime Minister Carney

Financial Times

Mark Carney and Xi Jinping meet to mend ties as Donald Trump disrupts global order

EuroNews

Canada PM Mark Carney hails strategic China partnership in Beijing meeting with Xi Jinping

XINHUA

Joint Statement of the China-Canada Leaders’ Meeting

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chriswarkentin

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The State Council of the People's Republic of China

Xi calls for advancing building of China-Canada new strategic partnership

Youtube

- YouTube

Prime Ministers live address on Canadas plan to build a stronger economy, in advance of the 2025 Budget

Metaculus

New Us Import Restrictions On China By Mar 13 2026

Centre for Economics and Business Research

Capital Economics

S&P Global

Goldman Sachs

George Magnus

Eswar Prasad

Nathan Sheets

Desmond Lachman

Statista

Rob Subbaraman

JCER

Chris Giles

Global Times

"China's nominal gross domestic product is unlikely to surpass that of the U.S. in the next few decades."

"This idea of China becoming the world's biggest economy may not happen, actually."

"China probably won't ever overtake the US economy on a sustained basis."

"The likelihood of the prediction that China's GDP will one day overtake that of the U.S. is declining."

"China is forecast to overtake the U.S. as the world’s largest economy by around 2035."

"China will overtake the US as the world's top economy in about 2035 with a high probability."

"[T]he size of China's economy in USD terms will overtake the US in 2028."

"China will overtake the United States to become the world's biggest economy in 2028."

Will China's GDP Overtake the US, And If So When?

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney visited Beijing in January 2026, marking the first visit by a Canadian leader to China since 2017. During the visit, Carney met with Chinese President Xi Jinping, Premier Li Qiang and other senior officials.

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney visited Beijing in January 2026, marking the first visit by a Canadian leader to China since 2017. During the visit, Carney met with Chinese President Xi Jinping, Premier Li Qiang and other senior officials.

Canada and China reached an agreement-in-principle allowing up to 49,000 Chinese electric vehicles into Canada annually at a 6.1% tariff rate. This represents less than 3% of Canada's new vehicle market and corresponds to volumes from 2023-2024.

Canada and China reached an agreement-in-principle allowing up to 49,000 Chinese electric vehicles into Canada annually at a 6.1% tariff rate. This represents less than 3% of Canada's new vehicle market and corresponds to volumes from 2023-2024.

China agreed to lower tariffs on Canadian canola seed to approximately 15% by March 1, 2026, down from current combined tariff levels of approximately 84%. Canada exports approximately $4 billion of canola seed to China annually.

China agreed to lower tariffs on Canadian canola seed to approximately 15% by March 1, 2026, down from current combined tariff levels of approximately 84%. Canada exports approximately $4 billion of canola seed to China annually.

Canadian canola meal, lobsters, peas and crabs will not be subject to relevant anti-discrimination tariffs from March 1, 2026, until at least the end of the year. This will improve market access for $2.6 billion of Canadian agricultural goods.

Canadian canola meal, lobsters, peas and crabs will not be subject to relevant anti-discrimination tariffs from March 1, 2026, until at least the end of the year. This will improve market access for $2.6 billion of Canadian agricultural goods.

The two countries established a new strategic partnership covering five pillars: energy, economic and trade cooperation, public safety and security, multilateralism, and culture and people-to-people ties, according to a joint statement.

The two countries established a new strategic partnership covering five pillars: energy, economic and trade cooperation, public safety and security, multilateralism, and culture and people-to-people ties, according to a joint statement.

Canada set a goal to increase exports to China by 50% by 2030. More than 75% of Canada's exports currently go to the United States, and Carney aims to double exports to non-U.S. partners over the next decade.

Canada set a goal to increase exports to China by 50% by 2030. More than 75% of Canada's exports currently go to the United States, and Carney aims to double exports to non-U.S. partners over the next decade.

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The US-China Conflict

Xi hails 'turnaround' in China-Canada ties as Carney visits Beijing

Canada, China Strike Trade Deal on EVs and Canola

XiCanada, hailsChina 'turnaround'Strike inTrade China-CanadaDeal tieson asEVs Carneyand visits BeijingCanola

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Canada, China Strike Trade Deal on EVs and Canola

XiCanada, hailsChina 'turnaround'Strike inTrade China-CanadaDeal tieson asEVs Carneyand visits BeijingCanola

The Controversies

JCER

Magnus

Economics

Prasad

Sachs

Times

Subbaraman

Research

Go Deeper

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