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Snapshot 7:Thu, Jan 15, 2026 9:55:02 PM GMT last edited by JoseMoura

Machado Says Venezuela 'Can Count on Trump' for Freedom After Meeting Him

Machado PresentsSays TrumpVenezuela Nobel'Can MedalCount aton WhiteTrump' Housefor Freedom After Meeting Him

Above: Venezuela's opposition leader María Corina Machado greets supporters after meeting U.S. President Donald Trump at the White House on Jan. 15, 2026. Image credit: *** GETTY *** Graeme Sloan/Bloomberg/Getty Images

The Spin

Trump's brilliant strategy uses Delcy Rodriguez as a puppet to dismantle the Chavista regime without boots on the ground or nation-building chaos., Bywhile threateningpreventing athe secondMaría strike,Corina TrumpMachado-led forcesopposition corruptfrom insidersfacing todangerous purgemilitary theirresistance ownthat rankscould andcreate cleara thefailed pathstate forin realVenezuela. Trump wants Venezuela to be a democracy., Thisbut 3-Dfirst chesshe movemust humiliatesforce brutalcorrupt leftistinsiders thugsto whilepurge avoidingtheir own ranks and clear the Iraq-stylepath disastersfor ofreal previous administrationsdemocracy.

Trump only wants oil access and geopolitical leverage, not democratic renewal, so Machado faces a serious risk of being sidelined as the U.S. and militaryMaduro loyalists reach deals without opposition involvement,. sinceIt's Washingtonpressing onlyfor wantsthe oil access and geopolitical leverage, not democratic renewal. The opposition mustto mobilize mass protests with achievable goals, likeemancipate freeingitself politicalfrom prisonersU.S. tointerests becomeand form an obstacleinternational thebloc transitionwith cannotother bypassdemocratic countries. Without organized popular powerOtherwise, the transitionChavista trainwill leavescontinue withoutin democracypower onin boardVenezuela.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 17% chance that Venezuela will announce a presidential election before April 1, 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0